October 21, 2009 - 8:29pm
Inside Edge

A George Wallace story

A poll of New Jersey voters taken three weeks before the 1968 presidential election had independent George Wallace with 14% of the vote, with Richard Nixon leading Hubert Humphrey by a 43%-38% margin.  Both parties agreed that Wallace was taking more votes from the Democrats than the Republicans. 

A Gallup poll conducted outside two New Jersey auto plants had Wallace getting 73% of the vote among 500 members of the United Auto Workers Union.  "Listen, the men in the plants want to zap the Negros by voting for Wallace.  It's that simple.  And I don't see how anyone can stop them," a UAW official told the New York Times in a quote that 41 years later appears rather incredible.

On Election Day, Nixon carried New Jersey by 61,261 votes, 46%-44%.  Wallace took 9%, less than where he was polling, receiving 262,187 votes.

In 1980, an October Eagleton-Rutgers poll had Ronald Reagan and Jimmy Carter tied at 36%, with independent John Anderson at 10%.  On Election Day, Reagan won 52%-39%, with 8% for Anderson.  But a 1992 Eagleton-Rutgers poll, also taken in October, had independent Ross Perot at 9%; he wound up getting 16% on Election Day.  Bill Clinton carried New Jersey 43%-41% over George H.W. Bush.

Wally Edge can be reached via email at politicsnj@aol.com.

Comments

Gut Check behind the curtain


When the Daggett voters pull the curtain at the polls, they will have to face reality and they will go with Christie. I am predicting only 8% for Daggett.

He is getting more Democrat Support for the environmental B S but only because they are fed up with Corzine. Daggett defectors will go 60:40 for Christie.

42.5% Christie

39.5% Corzine

 8.0% Daggett

Make sure Daggett cannot get his hands on the gun on election night. You might want to take his tie, shoelaces and any sharp objects away from him.

10/22/09 7:16 am

Sunshine


42.5 + 39.5 + 8 = 90%

Who's getting the other 10%? Add 10 to Daggett and you are close.

10/22/09 7:56 am