Quinnipiac, geographically
By Wally EdgeIn a new Quinnipiac poll, Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine runs strongest in Essex and Hudson counties, where he has a 64%-23% lead over Republican Christopher Christie, with independent Christopher Daggett at 10%. Christie's strongest region is Morris, Somerset, Hunterdon, Warren and Sussex counties, where he leads Corzine 59%-22%, with 17% for Daggett.
The race for governor is in a statistical dead heat in North Jersey (Bergen, Passaic, Union, Middlesex and Mercer counties), with Christie leading Corzine by just one percentage point, 41%-40%, with 10% for Daggett. The margin of error is +/- 2.8%.
Corzine has a 48%-35% lead in South Jersey (Camden, Burlington, Gloucester, Salem, Cape May, and Cumberland counties), with Daggett at 11%.
In the shore counties (Atlantic, Ocean and Monmouth), Christie leads Corzine 53%-25%, with 14% for Daggett.
Contributors
Wally Edge
Michael Doherty. a West Point graduate and one of the state's most conservative legislators, will take his seat in the State Senate today. A ... >
Bob Torricelli
Everybody needs to start a new job with a list of priorities and Chris Christie is no exception. There might be a thousand things that need to get ... >
Michael Patrick Carroll
Political discourse in America contains much in the way of intellect or intellectual honesty. One considers the Federalist Papers with wistful awe: ... >
Jeff Michaels
As pundits and party leaders look to next year’s Congressional elections in NJ, it appears that freshman Democrat John Adler is the most vulnerable ... >
Richard LaRossa
When will NJ Republicans start acting like Republicans rather than Democrats. Time to stand up for your principles, assuming they have any left. >
Alan Steinberg
As in any transition, speculation is rampant as to whom Governor-elect Chris Christie will appoint as Chief of Staff, State Treasurer, and Attorney ... >
Dr. Joseph Marbach
Now that the dust has finally settled after the grueling campaign for governor, there are a number of lessons that we can draw from this ... >
Carla Katz
When he was growing up, Chris Christie's folks must have taught him that when he went to a new playground, he should pick a fight with the ... >
Joey Novick
I have a Blackberry device that I am not completely thrilled with. It’s clunky and not intuitive like an IPhone, which I would rather ... >
Murray Sabrin
New Jersey voters repudiated Governor Jon Corzine's policies of the past four years on November 3rd. Republican Chris Christie and Independent ... >
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Gotta Get The Urban Numbers Up
The 23% Chris has is a true base vote. Frankly, whats having a Newark office do when you are losing that area by 41%. 10% is not acceptable in Newark, you need at least 30%. We cannot discount that the urban Democrat turnout machine will be cranked up. Daggett is clearly getting a lot of the disaffected Democrats Christie failed to close with his lack of specificity on taxes, the environment and the economy. If Daggett keeps gaining out of dissatisfied undecideds, this will get uncomfortably close. We need to start focusing on Tom Kean Sr. bread-and-butter issues.
Grouping Doesn't Make Sense
The grouping here doesn't make sense. Why lump Cape May in with Camden, Burlington, Gloucester, etc? I would wager that Corzine's numbers in Cape May are probably the exact opposite of the 48%-35% lead he apparently has in South Jersey. Why not put Cape May in with Atlantic and Ocean?
"Nobody made a greater mistake than he who did nothing because he could only do a little."
- Edmund Burke
Get those suburban and rural numbers up
Christie could win with 70% of the vote in the Northwest. The legislators do. Talk property taxes!