From the Shaftan poll, some regional head to heads
By Wally EdgeSome interesting regional numbers from the Neighborhood Research poll in gubernatorial race between Democrat Jon Corzine, Republican Christopher Christie, and Independent Christopher Daggett, as compared to Corzine's 2005 campaign against GOP candidate Douglas Forrester:
- Corzine leads Christie 58%-20% in Essex and Hudson. Four years ago, Corzine won Essex and Hudson with 75% of the vote. The two counties gave him a plurality of 147,163 votes - nearly two-thirds of his total margin statewide. Essex and Hudson make up 13% of the total statewide vote. Daggett gets 5%.
- Corzine and Christie are tied with 38% in Bergen and Passaic. Corzine won those two counties with 58% of the vote in 2005. Bergen and Passaic account for 16% of the votes cast statewide. Seven percent of the voters are for Daggett.
- In Mercer, Middlesex and Union, Christie has a 30%-27% lead. In 2005, Corzine won 60% of the vote in those three counties, which make up 18% of the statewide votes. Daggett is at 9%.
- In Monmouth and Ocean (16% of the statewide vote), Christie leads 50%-25%. Four years ago, Corzine won 45% of the vote in Monmouth and Ocean. Daggett gets 12%.
- Christie has a narrow 39%-35% lead in South Jersey, where Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and Salem counties make up 21% of all the votes cast in the last gubernatorial election. In 2005, Corzine won these seven counties with 56% of the vote. Daggett, who has not purchased Philadelphia TV, is at 3%.
- In Northwest New Jersey, the most Republican part of the state, Christie leads 38%-25% -- a number that GOP pollster Rick Shaftan described as "underperforming." Four years ago, Forrester beat Corzine 59%-41% in Morris, Somerset, Hunterdon, Sussex and Warren counties (16% of statewide ballots cast). Daggett is at 10%.
Neighborhood Research is a Republican polling firm.
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Does Anyone Else..
..get the feeling that Rick Shaftan would put more value in saying "I told you so" than actually getting rid of Corzine..?
Hey Rick, what's the point?
I had a statistics teacher say, "Statistics are like a bikini, what they show is interesting but what it conceals is essential." So what are your statistics concealing?
The public is fed up. Look for the highest off-year turn out by Republicans, and that will bring in Republicans all over the State. Democrats are always motivated, but this year their motivation will be trumped by Republican voter anger, and Democrat protesting the head of their party.
The people are even more angry than they were with Florio when they voted in Christie Witperson, the worst Republican Governor in the history of New Jersey?
Lonegan lost, get over it.
"If you don't read the newspapers, you are uninformed; if you do read the newspapers, you are misinformed." - Mark Twain
Bib Brother is Watching
I tried to post the above comment as follows in the 2nd paragraph "...but this year their motivation will be trumped by Republican voter anger, and Democrat protesting the Ob__anation of their party." The completed word was part of the original attempt. It flashed that their spam filter detected that the message contained indications of being spam. My post was rejected. I read it over and over and thought that it could not be so, but I changed the word to "their" party. That was the only change, one word and it went through. Try it yourself.
Tell Wally what you think of him and his spam filter.
"If you don't read the newspapers, you are uninformed; if you do read the newspapers, you are misinformed." - Mark Twain
Dumb Poll
Christie will win Bergen big time.
Even if your poll was correct Lonegan would Lose bad in his own town. How about polling that ?
Lonegan beat Christie 3-1 in Bogota in the primary
Are there really any Republcians in Garfield?
LOL
Vote Column "A" - All the way!
Rep Conscience
Try hitting the "reply" button under an individual post reather than the comment section at the bottom. Seems to bypass the spam filter.
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