Republican Christopher Christie leads Gov. Jon Corzine 39%-36% among definite voters, according to a poll conducted by Neighborhood Research, a survey firm run by conservative strategist Rick Shaftan. Independent Christopher Daggett is at 6%.
Corzine leads 52%-13%-9% among liberals, and 40%-34%-4% among moderates. Christie has a 63%-13%-7% lead among conservatives. Undecided voters "skew heavily to the left," according to the poll analysis. Among seniors, Corzine leads 46%-32%-4%.
Corzine has an upside-down 23%-46% favorable rating; Christie is also upside-down at 20%-27%. Daggett remains largely unknown, with favorables of 2%-1%.
President Barack Obama has a 47%-28% favorable rating among likely New Jersey voters. In a generic ballot test for the State Assembly, Republicans lead 40%-35%.
Among likely voters, Corzine leads Christie 37%-35%, with 6% for Daggett.
"If Corzine gets his liberal/urban/Democratic base together he's going to open up a significant lead, forcing Christie to work the right," Shaftan wrote in his analysis.
The poll was conducted between August 12-21 with a sample size of 319 and a margin of error of +/- 5.49%. The party breakout among respondents was 43% Democrat, 34% Republican, 23% unaffiliated.
Garden State Equality fires new broadside at Dems Smarting over the state Senate's refusal to pass marriage equality and disillusioned at the moment with the Democratic Party majority, Garden State Equality’s 85-member Board of Directors unanimously decided against giving financial contributions to political parties and their affiliated committees. ...
“We will work harder and smarter to protect consumers, to preserve civil rights, to effectively regulate the alcoholic beverage industry, to ensure that the integrity of New Jersey’s casino gaming industry continues, to keep drives, passengers and pedestrians safe on our streets, to assist victims of crimes, and to remember always the importance of juvenile justice on issues affecting the state." -- Attorney General-designate Paula Dow, at her Senate confirmation hearing.
- PolitickerNJ.com, 02/08/10Press releases are submitted by PolitickerNJ users, not by staff. They do not represent the viewpoint of PolitickerNJ.com.
lmao
The push to replace Christie with Lonegan begins now...or to move Christie further right.
Hey wait, wasn't Shaftan's last poll the one that had Chris and Steve virtually tied. What a great indicator that turned out to be...
While I think that this number is
While I think that this number is much closer to what the actual numbers are, I highly doubt that Shaftan is doing any (or even kniws how to) do an objective poll
Is this a joke?
Rick Shaftan? The same guy who told us:
1. Christie won't get in the race.
2. He won't raise any money.
3. He won't get county endorsements.
4. County endorsements don't matter.
5. Won't get conservative votes.
6. Will lose to Lonegan.
That Rick Shaftan?
http://christiegonewild.blogspot.com/
What a Load of Crap.
This is funny.
1.)There's no way that Christie has a 20% approval rating with a 27% disapproval.
2.) Independents are no tilting heavily to the left.
3.)There's no way that Jon Corzine is getting 13% of the conservative vote. He's way too far to the left. lol
4.) I also find it hard to believe that President Obama has a 47% approval rating in the state. If Shaftan says it's at 47%, my guess it's more like 54%-56%.
ANY poll released by Rick Shafton should be immediately disregarded. This is the same guy that released a poll in April showing Chris Christie to be only 1.6% of Steve Lonegan.
Let's see
Who paid for this poll? $haftan is not going to run a poll unless someone is paying for it or it is to satisfy his own agenda.
What's the theme here? Christie has to move to the right. Whose agenda is that?... oh yeah $haftan and his boss Looney Lonegan, who has not been seen from after the bruising GOP primary, other then to cash in on the matching public monies to retire debt and pay off $haftan.. but that's only a guess about retiring debt to $haftan since Lonegan has not filed his ELEC reports and one has to wonder why Lonegan has not done so yet.
Then could a person make the claim: "$haftan's poll was paid for by tax dollar matching funds from Lonegan war chest?" It's anyone's guess.
The Looney House Let Out For Break
1) Putting Lonegan in place of Christie would be the nail in the coffin of Republicans in NJ. As well as make the party a laughing stock across the east coast.
2) Affair?? Are you kidding?? The Michelle Brown buzz is about less than $100 a year in interest. I guess the whole millions of dollars Corzine-Katz settlement isn't as important.
3) With the Obama factor nullified, Corzine is truly going to feel the weight of his past decisions.
4) A sample size of ~300?? Would someone please hand Mr. Shaftan a statistics textbook. I think having someone's pet fish choose a winner would be more accurate.
http://lwschoolhouse.blogspot.com/
Momentum Confirms My Take On "Mr Toast" Christie
I've been saying for months/years here that Christie is a bum. To be more precise, Christie is a petty partisan pay to play hypocritical hack. (And a bullly to boot.)
As more and more light is shed on him and more and more facts emerge, he winds up looking worse and worse to the peoplee of New Jersey.
Of course the hard core of his party will vote for him and spin for him in this venue......but most New Jerseyans are far from hard core Republicans.
I don't have to repeat the litany af Christie's utter hypocrisy here...you all have heard it; but most of the voters STILL don't know what the guy truly IS!
Even if this poll is way off and Christie'd lead is at a whopping 7 points.....the mopmentum is all going away from him and accelerating.
I'll say it again, Chritie is a weak candidate and he is toast.
It's Karmic justice that he's being hoisted by his own pitard.
All Corzine has to do to win is stay aggressive and not shy away from directly and personally calling Christie out.
If and when Christie ever decides to actually engage in in depth discussions of policy with his opponent and with the press...he looks even worse since his (alleged) forte was ethics and he's already blown that one. In a detailed policy debate he gets blown out of the water.
Corzine-Weinberg win by 5 points, at least. And if Corzine (takes my advice, and) goes populist/aggressively progressive (and freaks out all the machines in the process....) he wins by 15 points!!!
If Cristie was who he pretends to be, he would deserve to win...but the problem for him is that he's a phony, and people are just beginning to see that.
Get Real
Momentum Confirms My Take On "Mr Toast" Christie
posted by Nick Lento
I've been saying for months/years here that Christie is a bum. To be more precise, Christie is a petty partisan pay to play hypocritical hack. (And a bullly to boot.)
As more and more light is shed on him and more and more facts emerge, he winds up looking worse and worse to the peoplee of New Jersey.
Of course the hard core of his party will vote for him and spin for him in this venue......but most New Jerseyans are far from hard core Republicans.
I don't have to repeat the litany af Christie's utter hypocrisy here...you all have heard it; but most of the voters STILL don't know what the guy truly IS!
Even if this poll is way off and Christie'd lead is at a whopping 7 points.....the mopmentum is all going away from him and accelerating.
I'll say it again, Chritie is a weak candidate and he is toast.
It's Karmic justice that he's being hoisted by his own pitard.
All Corzine has to do to win is stay aggressive and not shy away from directly and personally calling Christie out.
If and when Christie ever decides to actually engage in in depth discussions of policy with his opponent and with the press...he looks even worse since his (alleged) forte was ethics and he's already blown that one. In a detailed policy debate he gets blown out of the water.
Corzine-Weinberg win by 5 points, at least. And if Corzine (takes my advice, and) goes populist/aggressively progressive (and freaks out all the machines in the process....) he wins by 15 points!!!
If Cristie was who he pretends to be, he would deserve to win...but the problem for him is that he's a phony, and people are just beginning to see that.
---------------------------------------------
If Corzine wins, it will be by less then 1%. Don't forget one important fact: he's the most unpopular governor in New Jersey history. This is a sitting Democratic Governor in a blue state, and yet he has a 58% disapproval rating. He ain't no Obama.
Wow,
Corzine is within the margin of voter fraud.
"If you don't read the newspapers, you are uninformed; if you do read the newspapers, you are misinformed." - Mark Twain
NJ
The problem is New Jersey is for Democrats what Utah is for Republicans. The Dems have a strong organization in this state and it is hard to break that up.
Chris is a good candidate. And unfortunately even good Republican candidates cannot withstand the Democrat machine in this state. I think the only way Chris would have a very good chance at winning is if Jon Corzine happens to be arrested and I don't see that happening.
The sad part is Jon Corzine has nothing to be proud of if he does win in November. The only way he won is by trashing his opponent and luckily has a strong party coalition who will get out the vote for him. The people of New Jersey lose again if Jon Corzine wins in November.
What the @$%^ kind of poll is that
A sample size of 319.....that took 11 calender days to conduct and then produces a margin of error of almost 5.5%...... What were the callers doing...using rotary dial phones in the dark or sending smoke signals back forth to get responses? This is laughable! Is there a link to this the survey where I can view this. My stomach hurts from laughing so hard.
Christie making $14,000 over
Christie making $14,000 over ten years is a little more than $100 a year.
The $46,000 Loan
Based on the facts provided thus far this is a standard 2nd mortgage note at 5.5% originated in october or november of 2007, with about $420 of interest in 2007, $2400 in 2008,$2,200 in 2009, and $1,990 in 2010. Total interest on the loan is just under $14,000. The 5.5% rate is equal to a typical 10 year CD yield in November 2007 (5.53% average). In other words LET THE SPINNING STOP! THERE IS NOTHING SUSPICIOUS OR SINISTER about this loan from the financial perspective. It was same as putting money in a savings account CD. I would set up a loan to a friend or a relative the same way.
What the @$%^ kind of poll
What the @$%^ kind of poll is that
posted by BigDog11176
A sample size of 319.....that took 11 calender days to conduct and then produces a margin of error of almost 5.5%...... What were the callers doing...using rotary dial phones in the dark or sending smoke signals back forth to get responses? This is laughable! Is there a link to this the survey where I can view this. My stomach hurts from laughing so hard.
----------------------------------------------
I had the same reaction. Rasmussen contacted 500 people in one day. Quinnipiac spoke with 1600 people in four days. It says a lot that neither RealClearPolitics or Pollster.com have included Shaftan's junk "poll" in their polling averages.