why Halfacre sold out Lonegan.

Another lamb to the slaughter

Lance Smith LoBiondo must go They betrayed the GOP on the energy tax bill. Let us now look for some real Republicans. Lance Smith and LoBiondo you should be ashamed of yourselves!

Half acre should sit this one out. He's just being used by njgop. Alan Bateman has the money, grass roots support and most important strong support from the Conservative pro lifers who would love to take half acre on in primary!

Bateman should sit this out. He did a bad job, only raising 35k and having a college kid run his campaign. He has over 5k of carry over debt and backed Lonegan in the primary. Nice guy, lousy candidate.

Meanwhile, Halfacre is close to Christie and has been making the rounds out here to raise money and support. Face it, there is a right way and a wrong way, and he has been doing it the right way.

Holt should be afraid, very afraid.

Bateman actually did a good job with what he had. In a year that heavily favored the dems and Obama he got 36/37% which is between Sinagra's 34 and Spadea's 40. I would argue that he neutralized the Obama surge.

The problem with the 12th is that the republicans in the assembly and senate do not have a base of donors who they can call on to help other candidates. They can barely raise money themselves. I've noticed that the crowds at assembly and senate fundraisers keep getting smaller and smaller. They didn't have the influence to keep Saxton's seat. They did help Lance because he was in the senate with them. Plus, Lance had a good base of donors and grassroots support to start with from all his years in the assembly and senate.

If Christie looses and there is a good chance he might, its over. If he wins, also a good chance, he would need to direct his big donors to help the house candidates throughout the state. I wouldn't hold my breath unless these same people want no-contracts. Christie's already trying to defend himself from these contracts when he was US Attorney. But, that's how the game is played.

The way I see it, in the best of years with $2 million, it will be very difficult to beat Holt. One factor of many is that all those state workers in the district won't vote for an R not to mention the gerrymandering. Last election, Holt got more votes than Obama is some areas. I remember Bill Spadea saying when he ran that it will take 3 tries to beat Holt. He is right. The first to get your name out, the second to cut into his margins (come close and possibly win) and the third to win.

Holt wins. Halfacre is a pompous egotist, he will not raise as much money as he says he will.