N.J. expected to lose one congressional seat after '10 census

By Wally Edge | December 23rd, 2008 - 9:25am
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A new report from the Census Bureau indicates that New Jersey is likely to lose a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in time for the 2012 elections.  That will offer numerous redistricting options for mapmakers after the 2010 census.  Over the coming weeks, PolitickerNJ.com will offer some of our own maps to demonstrate some potential scenarios as New Jersey moves from thirteen congressional districts to twelve.

New Jersey lost a House seat after the 1990 census.  The redistricting commission placed Democrats Bernard Dwyer, a five term Congressman from Middlesex County, and two-term incumbent Frank Pallone, a Monmouth County Democrat, in the same district.  Dwyer, 69, retired, allowing Pallone to hold the seat.  New Jersey also lost a seat after the 1980 census; Republican Millicent Fenwick was running for the U.S. Senate, so mapmakers simply eliminated her district.

 

Lance v. Menendez in 2012?

I'm not sure I see any retirements coming in 2012. But, since that is a Senate election year, if a GOP district was being rubbed out, I could see one of the GOP Congressmen taking a shot at Menendez, and saving everyone some trouble. However, with the population density moving south and west, I'm not sure who that would be... Lance, I suppose.

Wally

Do you think itll be mandated that we retain a black majority district considering the rising Latino share in the 10th and the sparse black communities elsewhere in NJ?

Re: Wally

I think that the 10th will remain a majority-minority black district in 2012. I think that the 2010 Census will be interesting in that the 13th District could become majority-minority Hispanic.

Re: Wally

Lance v Garrett

CountAl

Everyone acts like the states hopelessly Democrat. The reality is that the GOP is a significant minority here unlike other Northeastern states, and if it is a reasonable person the map will shift the overwhelming amount of northern Democratic districts.

I see it as likely Pascrell or Payne, or both, retire before redistricting. If Payne leaves, my guess is Pascrell represents the bulk of his district for two years or so and then a minority (maybe Booker?) takes the seat. If Pascrell leaves, his district will be all scattered. It is worth noting his district north of Haledon would never vote for any Democrat but Pascrell and will probably end up in Rodney Freylinghuysens/Jay Webbers district.

This "reserving" of the 10th and 13th

districts has created the absurd. Linden, pop. c.40,000, is split among these and the 7th CD.

Andrews v. Adler

Andrews v. Adler* in a 2012 Democratic primary.

And maybe even the two of them v. a minority candidate (if a new Minority-Majority Congressional District is created in South Jersey).

*(Presuming Adler survives 2010.)

A COMPLETE CHANGE

could we simply eliminate all Democrat congressman and have their districts represented by Republicans? Am I asking too much? But, Imagine if we did this for the State Assembly and Senate!! think of all the money we would save on legal fees... But I guess with Chris Christie leaving, and being replaced by a Democrat, The Democrats will just revert back to their corrupt-as-normal ways with nobody looking after the taxpayers.

District 2

District 2 is much too large. Gloucester and Salem should be made part of District 1.

Thanks for sharing.That will

Thanks for sharing.That will offer numerous redistricting options for mapmakers after the 2010 census. Over the coming weeks, PolitickerNJ.com will offer some of our own maps to demonstrate some potential scenarios as New Jersey moves from thirteen congressional districts to twelve.packed

Good post.Over the coming

Good post.Over the coming weeks, PolitickerNJ.com will offer some of our own maps to demonstrate some potential scenarios as New Jersey moves from thirteen congressional districts to twelve.
Super Mario 63

This will offer numerous

This will offer numerous Conservatory Blinds redistricting options for mapmakers after the 2010 census. Over the coming weeks, PolitickerNJ.com will offer some of our own maps to demonstrate some potential scenarios.

Over the coming weeks of

Over the coming weeks of Houston Limo, PolitickerNJ.com will offer some of our own maps to demonstrate some potential scenarios as New Jersey moves from thirteen congressional districts to twelve.

Great info provided on the

Great info provided on the elections.That will offer numerous redistricting options for mapmakers after the 2010 census.This should be know by each and every person.Thanks for the quality post.Acne skin

Thanks for the good info

Thanks for the good info provided in facia plate.commission placed Democrats Bernard Dwyer, a five term Congressman from Middle sex County, and two-term incumbent Frank Pall one, a Monmouth County Democrat, in the same district.Will be sharing 10% with others.

People of New Jersy

Wake up! It is time to do something about it,

free love!

Now seriously, it is quite bad that a liberal state such as NJ is loosing its power, I hate to think who will get the seat instead... Ford f250

Wake-Up Call

Morning News Digest: February 9, 2010

Garden State Equality fires new broadside at Dems Smarting over the state Senate's refusal to pass marriage equality and disillusioned at the moment with the Democratic Party majority, Garden State Equality’s 85-member Board of Directors unanimously decided against giving financial contributions to political parties and their affiliated committees. ...

Wally Edge

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