Rasmussen

A new Rasmussen Reports poll has Republican Christopher Christie with a four point lead over Gov. Jon Corzine, 45%-41%, with 9% for independent Christopher Daggett.

Rasmussen says the race might be all about Daggett, who gained three points over the last week while Christie has lost two and Corzine is down three. 

"The race may be even closer than those numbers suggest. When voters are asked their initial choice, 38% name Christie, 38% Corzine, and 16% prefer Daggett. But 57% of Daggett's supporters say they could change their minds before Election Day," Rasmussen said.  "That dwarfs the number of swayable Corzine and Christie voters."

Among Corzine supporters, 27% say they might still change their minds, while 20% of Christie supporters say the same. 

"A plurality of swayable Daggett supporters and undecided voters indicate they are likely to end up voting for Christie," Rasmussen said.

Republican Christopher Christie has an eight point lead, 46%-38%, over Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine, according to a new Rasmussen Reports poll released today.  Christopher Daggett, an independent candidate, is at 6%, with 10% still undecided.

An August 27 Rasmussen poll that did not include Daggett had Christie ahead 47%-36%, with 7% saying they would prefer another candidate.

Rasmussen: "It's worth noting that other indicators suggest that Christie's lead might be a bit softer than the eight-point advantage indicates. Results before leaners are included show Christie up by just four points. Among those who are certain how they will vote, Christie leads by six. This suggests that the GOP campaign may be like a baseball team heading into the late innings with a lead but lacking a reliable closer. They're happy to be ahead but can't wait for the game to end so they can breathe again."

A Democratic poll conducted for Democracy Corps, an organization run by James Carville and Stan Greenberg, has Christie ahead by three points, 41%-38%, with Daggett at 10%.

A poll released today puts Republican Chris Christie ahead of incumbent Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine by 13 points.

In the automated Rasmussen Reports poll, which was conducted yesterday, Christie leads Corzine 51% to 38% -- a four point increase over Rasmussen’s last poll on the governor’s race.  Corzine has remained at 38%.  Getting over 50% in a poll is good news for any candidate, although the pollster said that it may be a temporary bounce.  
“The slight increase in support for Christie may reflect a temporary bounce from his primary victory,” wrote the pollster in the poll’s summary.

Chris Christie leads Steven Lonegan by ten points, 39%-29% in the Republican gubernatorial primary, according to a new Rasmussen Reports poll released today.  Undecideds are at 29%, and 3% say they will vote for another candidate.

Lonegan does better among men and conservatives, and Christie among women and moderates.  

Among likely GOP primary voters, Christie has a 75% favorable rating, while Lonegan is at 73%.  But 26% have a very favorable opinion of Lonegan, while 23% view Christie very favorably.

Rasmussen Reports will release a new poll on the race for Governor of New Jersey this evening.  This morning, a new Quinnipiac University poll has Republican Christopher Christie leading Gov. Jon Corzine by nine percentage points.  Christie also has a nine point lead in a recent Fairleigh Dickinson University poll.

Frank Lautenberg has an 18-point lead over Dick Zimmer in New Jersey's U.S. Senate contest: Getty Images Photo
A Rasmussen poll shows Sen. Frank Lautenberg hitting the 50% mark that pundits say is so crucial for any reelection effort.

The survey puts Lautenberg at 51% to Zimmer’s 33%. That’s up two points for Lautenberg last month, when Rasmussen put him at 49% to Zimmer’s 36%. Lautenberg is supported by 78% of the state’s Democrats, while Zimmer is backed by 72% of Republicans. Lautenberg has a commanding lead with the state’s unaffiliated voters, besting Zimmer 45% to 28%.

Meanwhile, Barack Obama continues to have a high single-digit lead over John McCain.

Democratic U.S. Sen. Frank Lautenberg leads Republican challenger Dick Zimmer by thirteen percentage points, 49%-36%, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll released today. A July 17, 2006 Quinnipiac poll had Republican Tom Kean, Jr. and incumbent Bob Menendez in a statistical dead heat: Kean 40%, Menendez 38%. A June 19, 2002 Quinnipiac poll had incumbent Bob Torricelli leading his GOP challenger, Douglas Forrester, 44%-36% And a July 27, 2000 Quinnipiac poll had Democrat Jon Corzine running twenty points ahead of Republican Bob Franks, 50%-30%. By Election Day, only the Corzine/Franks race was close.

Incumbent Democratic U.S. Sen. Frank Lautenberg leads Republican challenger Dick Zimmer 49%-36%, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll released today.

The poll also shows Gov. Jon Corzine approval rating at only 27%, while 40% disapprove. That’s a slight drop from last month.

The poll comes after two other recent polls from other organizations showed Lautenberg leading Zimmer by large margins, although a Rasmussen poll from early last month – just after both won their respective primaries-- showed the two in a statistical dead heat.

Patrick Murray, the Director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, has an interesting post on summer polling in U.S. Senate races that is a must read for campaign watchers.

Quinnipiac University will release a new poll on the battle for New Jersey’s fifteen electoral votes on Thursday morning.  A recent Rasmussen Reports poll has Democrat Barack Obama leading Republican John McCain by nine percentage points.