Ron Paul

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Two polls show John McCain leading Rudy Giuliani in New Jersey’s February 5 presidential primary: a Neighborhood Research poll has McCain leading 31%-26%, with 18% for Mitt Romney, 9% for Mike Huckabee, and 4% for Ron Paul; and a Fairleigh Dickinson University poll has McCain ahead of Giuliani by a 23%-29% margin, with 10% for Romney and 7% for Huckabee.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama, 41%-27%, with 8% for John Edwards in the FDU poll.

Quinnipiac University will release their poll this morning.

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A new poll of 380 past Republican voters likely to vote in the Feb. 5th New Jersey primary shows Sen. John McCain leading former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani by 31-26% with 18% for former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney.

Conducted for a private client on Sunday through Tuesday by Neighborhood Research of Franklin, the survey has a theoretical margin of error of +/- 5.0% in 95% of cases.

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New Jerseyans like the job Democrat Frank Lautenberg is doing in the United States Senate, but most voters seem ready for a change – and not because Lautenberg would be 90-years-old at the end of his text term, according to a new Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey poll released today. Just 19% of New Jersey voters say that Lautenberg should be re-elected to a fifth term, while 58% want someone else. And still, 51% of voters disagree that Lautenberg is getting to old to be effective.

“Considering that even Democrats would prefer a fresh face in the Senate, there are probably many reasons voters feel it is time for a change, but Lautenberg’s age does not seem to be the deciding factor,” said Patrick Murray, the poll director. “Of course, the alternative has to be palatable to the voters, and right now the Republican field does not seem to be particularly strong when pitted head-to-head with Lautenberg.”

In head-to-head contests, Lautenberg leads two Republican candidates by about the same margins: 38%-24% against millionaire developer Anne Evans Estabrook, and 40%-25% against State Sen. Joseph Pennacchio. The poll did not include Ramapo College Professor Murray Sabrin, a Ron Paul supporter who entered the race after the survey went into the field.

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Republican U.S. Senate candidate Murray Sabrin says Ron Paul is the most conservative candidate ever to seek the presidency.

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U.S. Senate candidate Murray Sabrin today distanced himself from the content of newsletters released in the name of presidential candidate U.S. Rep. Ron Paul in the 1990s.

Representing Paul at a straw poll in Woodbridge sponsored by Conservatives with Attitude, Sabrin, a Republican, told PolitickerNJ.com, "I disavow any racist statement, which is collectivism. I've been an individualist all my life."

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Supporters of presidential candidate Ron Paul stampeded the Forge in Woodbridge this morning and gave their candidate a blow-out victory in a straw poll conducted by the right wing New Jersey bloggers' aggregate, Conservatives with Attitude (CWA).

Michaal Illions, a candidate for U.S. Congress in the 7th district, read the results of 207 participants.

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Fourteen years after he mounted a self-financed primary challenge against Congressman Dean Gallo, who was dying of cancer, “Jersey Joe” Pennacchio will announce today that he is a candidate for the Republican nomination for United States Senator.  Since his ’94 race, which featured a harsh attack on Gallo – Pennacchio says he didn’t know the incumbent was sick – Pennacchio courted establishment Republicans in Morris County and became popular enough to win special election conventions for Freeholder and State Assembly with the support of some of Gallo’s closest friends.  When the State Senate seat in District 26 opened up, Pennacchio won the GOP nomination by acclamation.

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John McCain leads Rudy Giuliani 29%-25% among likely Republican primary voters – a statistical dead heat – in a new Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey poll released this morning. Mike Huckabee follows in a distant third place with 11%, followed by Mitt Romney at 9%, Fred Thompson at 5%, and Ron Paul at 4%.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama by twelve percentage points – 42%-30%, among Democratic likely voters surveyed. John Edwards is at 9%, with Dennis Kucinich and Mike Gravel barely a blip on the screen.

“Senator Obama’s early win in Iowa has swung some previously undecided New Jersey voters into his camp, but Senator Clinton’s support among rank and file Democrats here remains strong,” commented Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. “It appears that Mayor Giuliani’s strategy to ignore the early states may have taken him off the radar screen here. Many of his supporters have now moved to Senator McCain, which, ideologically, is probably an easy switch for New Jersey Republicans. Without a major win between now and Super Tuesday, Giuliani may have to spend precious resources in New Jersey simply to remind voters that he’s still in the running.”

The poll also asked all registered voters in the state – including those not voting in the upcoming February 5th primary – whether selecting a candidate who can bring about needed change or someone who has the right experience is more important to them in this year’s race for the White House. Overall, New Jersey voters are split – 39% are looking for change and 37% prefer experience. Another 18% volunteer that they value both qualities equally and 6% have no opinion. Democrats (41%) and independents (51%) are more likely to value change while Republicans tend to go for experience (53%). Read More >