The Pindell Report, Politicker.com's political and campaign forecast, has released its final projections for Election Day. Using polling, historical and demographic trends, tracking campaign visits and spending, The Pindell Report ranks races in terms of their competitiveness and their status as either a toss-up or leaning or likely voting in a particular way.

In New Jersey, The Pindell Report's final breakdown is as follows:

(Mt. Laurel, NJ) – The John Adler for Congress campaign in New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District announced new organizational endorsements today from influential area and national groups including the National Association of Police Organizations, the New Jersey Law Enforcement Commanding Officers Association, the Council of New Jersey State College Locals of the American Federation of Teachers (AFL-CIO), and the National Association of Letter Carriers, and New Jersey Citizen Action.

The 3rd district congressional race between Democrat John Adler and Republican Christopher Myers is a statistical dead heat, according to a Zogby International poll conducted by The Press of Atlantic City and The Richard Stockton College of New Jersey.  More than 16% of the voters poll remain undecided, with each candidate at 39%.   Adler, a State Senator from Camden County, and Myers, the Mayor of Medford, are seeking the seat of Republican Jim Saxton, who is retiring after 24 years in the House.  Republicans have held this seat since 1884.

Third district voters are also split on races for President and U.S. Senate: Barack Obama, 45%, John McCain, 44%; and Dick Zimmer, 45%, Frank Lautenberg 44%.

With Louis Greenwald out of the race for State Senator if John Adler wins his race for Congress, one possible candidate is South Jersey AFL-CIO President Donald Norcross, the brother of South Jersey Democratic leader George Norcross.  Donald Norcross was widely expected to go to Congress this year before incumbent Rob Andrews decided to reclaim the seat he gave up to challenge Frank Lautenberg in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary. 

Assemblyman Louis Greenwald will not be a candidate for State Senator if John Adler is elected to Congress on Tuesday, according to South Jersey Democratic officials.  Greenwald has reportedly told friends and political allies that he prefers to remain as Chairman of the Assembly Budget Committee, rather than move over to the State Senate.

Bill Clinton is coming to New Jersey because Linda Stender is trailing Leonard Lance in the race for the 7th district congressional seat.  The decision of national Democrats to dispatch Clinton to help Stender and not John Adler might be an indication of their confidence in winning the third district race.  It's noteworthy that Clinton will be in the state and not traveling the extra hour to help Adler; it seems the Democrats have made a decision that they're comforable with Adler's chances against Republican Christopher Myers.

If Republicans Scott Garrett, Christopher Myers and Leonard Lance win hotly contested House races next week, it is unlikely that Democrats would invest heavily in these traditionally GOP districts again in 2010.  But Democratic victories would make these districts battlegrounds in the 2010 mid-term elections.

If Garrett survives -- Politicker.com's The Pindell Report has the seat as Leans Republican -- he'll have a firm lock on the 5th district seat until at least 2012, when mapmakers draw new congressional districts.  But if blind Rabbi Dennis Shulman upsets Garrett, he'd immediately become one of the nation's most vulnerbale Democratic Congressmen. There is already talk among some Bergen County Republicans that Assemblyman David Russo would enter the race to challenge Shulman in 2010.  Russo sought the seat six years ago when Marge Roukema retired and lost to Garrett 45%-24% after splitting the Bergen GOP vote with State Sen. Gerald Cardinale.

NJ Federation of Sportsmen's Clubs

Endorse Chris Myers for Congress

Burlington, Camden & Ocean County Chapters Back NRA Endorsed Candidate

ADLER STATEMENT IN SUPPORT OF IGNITION INTERLOCK BILL

TRENTON – Senator John H. Adler, D-Cherry Hill, a prime sponsor of Ricci’s Law, which would require all convicted drunk drivers to install ignition interlock devices in their vehicles, issued the following statement in support of a Mothers Against Drunk Driving (MADD) news conference on the Statehouse steps, calling for action on the bill:

“Last year in New Jersey, nearly 200 people were killed by drunk drivers. Many of those deaths involved repeat drunk-driving offenders, some of whom were in violation of license and registration suspensions handed down at the time of their DUI conviction.

DESPERATE MYERS FLEES SINKING SHIP
President's Proud Cheerleader Suddenly Has Second Thoughts
Contradicts Himself On Bush And Economy

Mt. Laurel, NJ – Desperate to save his fading campaign, congressional candidate Chris Myers has scrambled onto one of the last lifeboats fleeing the USS George W. Bush. Myers is frantically trying to escape the sinking GOP ship and its beleaguered skipper, the president, with a cunning but ultimately futile attempt to deny his longstanding support for Bush and the failed policies that pushed our economy over the cliff.