Hillary Clinton’s lead over Barack Obama in New Jersey has narrowed to 44%-38%, according to a private poll commissioned by one of the state’s most powerful Democratic leaders, George Norcross. The poll, conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner on January 30-31, was distributed to some Norcross allies earlier this morning and obtained by PolitickerNJ.com.
A Quinnipiac University poll released on January 23 had Clinton with a 17-point lead, 49%-32%. John Edwards was at 10% and Dennis Kucinich at 1%; both candidates have since dropped out of the race. In that survey, 25% of Clinton voters had indicated that they were very or somewhat likely to change their mind. In December, Clinton’s lead in New Jersey was 51%-17%.
The poll shows that likely primary voters view both candidates favorably – Obama at 64%-17%, and Clinton at 66%-19%.
"Edwards supporters are more open to Obama than Clinton in New Jersey. Among voters initially supporting Edwards, 26 percent shift their support to Obama, while only 12 percent shift to Clinton (34 percent of Edwards’ supporters say they will continue to support Edwards although he is no longer in the race and 28 percent remain undecided)," the poll memo said. "And among the 25 percent of voters who have no preference or indicate that they would vote for a candidate who is no longer campaigning, just 14 percent say there is “no chance” they would vote for Obama in the primary election. Among this same group, more than one-fifth (21 percent) say that there is 'no chance' they would support Clinton."
Clinton leads by just 4% in the New York media market, 43%-39%. In the Philadelphia media market, Clinton leads 47%-36%.
Obama has a 2-1 lead among African American voters, and "has closed the gap with a coalition of broad support among men and younger voters."
Clinton and Obama both campaigned in New Jersey last month, and Bill Clinton was in Camden earlier this week.
Norcross has not personally endorsed any candidate, although he has key allies in both camps Assembly Speaker Joseph Roberts and Rep. Rob Andrews are backing Clinton, and State Sen. John Adler is with Obama.
Former New Jersey Governor James McGreevey might remember that former Newark Mayor Sharpe James played a significant role in helping him to get that title. But regarding the highly contentious Newark mayoral race between candidates Ras Baraka and Shavar Jeffries, McGreevey told PolitickerNJ.com on Thursday that he has no interest in picking a side.Read More >
Bergen Dems demand Donovan cancel fundraiser with Christie after unlimited contributions commentsHACKENSACK - Bergen County Democratic Chairman Lou Stellato called on Bergen County Executive Kathleen Donovan to cancel a fundraiser scheduled for May 5 with Gov. Chris Christie after he made remarks on allowing unlimited campaign contributions to political...
By JON BRAMNICK Voices around the country agree with our concern that "bipartisan committee led by John Wisniewski is partisan." Below are observers who agree Wisneiwski's committee is not bipartisan: Chuck Todd, NBC News: "Democrats made a mistake... Read More >
“The new agenda is charter schools. It’s a profit-making business. $500 million will not be in our hands. The school board is an advisory board. We are not going to tell the governor to unleash the dollars. Don’t be fooled. It’s not abracadabra. It’s politics.” - Paterson Mayor Jeff Jones- PolitickerNJ.com
Press releases are submitted by PolitickerNJ users, not by staff. They do not represent the viewpoint of PolitickerNJ.com.