Poll: Dead heat in 3rd district House race

What's the margin of error?

That shows Myers in the lead.

Adler has spent at least $1M and is spending at least another $2M by November 4th.

What a waste of money.

There is no way a Cherry Hill liberal lawyer/Trenton polician can win in this district.  PARTICULARLY after the Bryant trial and Trenton's economic travesty.

It is no secret that all the money and PR Adler has tried to do has backfired big time.

Regardless of what anyone posts on how people dont like GOP or this or that, bottom bottom line is that on one here wants a tax and spend Camden County liberal/trenton pol.

Martin and others can crow all they want about how wonderful Adler is but it is REALITY - with all of Adler's endorsements and money spent he should be way in the lead, but people do not like or trust him.

In a tie, Myers wins because of OC and Burlco.  OC is 100% correct on that! 

Where do you get your facts? lololololol Oh from Adler talking points.

YOu have no clue how indies are going to vote and since Adler cannot surpass Myers indies are watching and will prob back the one that is not a career pol.

Unless, of course, you can provde us with how every indie will vote or based on what poll you are looking at that states your claim. Right now, adler is the loser. 

You cannot furnish any proof can you? Just spinning away witih dreams of the sugar plums in your little head.

YOU were the one a few weeks ago saying how Adler was going to be in double digits now. Again, you  have been proven a liar.

So, do yourself a favor, please furnish myself and others here where this poll you are talking about shows conclusively that Adler will win all those independents.

I can wait, I have said for months that Adler was going to crash and burn and all his money and endorsements were not going to help him.

I guess I am the one that has been proven correct so far. I can wait for your facts. Go ahead.

Independent OC is right and reasonable, as he usually is. I would add that Obama is actually leading in the district -- and McCain has made no ad buys in N.J. and has essentially pulled out of the state. The top of the lever strength of Obama (and Lautenberg) is a plus in this district and state.

I'd love for Adler to have a comfortable lead right now in NJ-03, but that isn't the case for a variety of reasons; I'm quite optimistic, though, about his chances with 4 weeks to go and well over $1 million to spend. We're talking about enough money to put up ads during Eagles and Phillies games, radio ads, and the like. If Myers can't even put up a single ad, well, then this race is over. I also note that the unions, environmental groups, and other organizations on the ground who have already endorsed Adler give him an institutional edge over Myers, and this shouldn't be discounted for GOTV efforts.

Having just perused the Monmouth poll pdf file, I note that the pollsters say a plus for Adler is party ID, as a plurality say that Dems, not Repubs, should control congress (+11 or something akin) and that the economy is overwhelmingly the top concern of district voters. For the latter, we know that this is one of the major reasons that Obama is on the way to defeating McCain, and it should bode well for Adler, too, as voters consider Dems superior to Repubs on the economy.

Get those ads out, continue with the volunteers, and let's win NJ-03 for Adler -- and the good of our country and state.

Ok, so are you saying that ADler has not spent any money for anythng Indie OC? Adler has not been winging on his name?

I am really chuckling that you have been crowing about how Adler with all this money and his endorsements will be a cake walk for him.

With 28 days to go and Obamas lead growing in NJ, Adler is sunk. Oh well, another Dem bites the dust. Oh and running political ads during sporting games falls on deaf ears; most people leave the room for breaks!

First off, you have some nerve calling someone else a nine year old.  Your constantly lying wouldn't even rise to a nine year old's level.  But it continues and continues.  More lies spilling out of the mouths of Adlerites.  Hasn't spent any money?  Lie #1 - Adler has spent over $1 million so far.  Yet somehow that can be classified as him haven't spent any money.  Lie #2 - the claim that iamreallyaliberaldem oc is reasonable.   Read his or her posts.  Claiming this race is over and his continued lying is not reasonable, it's desperate.  Lie #3 - McCain has pulled out of the state.  Keep dreaming.  A total fabrication.  Lie #4 - John Adler won his first election.  WRONG.  He lost in 1990 against Jim Saxton.  Amnesia, stupidity or your ever growing love of rewriting history?  The truth is that John Adler has been endorsed by one organization that has been sexually harassing its employees and he remains silent and accepts their cash.  He accepts the endorsement of an organization which seeks to kill our military infrastructure and his campaign came out just yesterday and criticized Jim Saxton for getting money for Lockheed Martin.  Smooth move.  And now we have John Adler who has been dolling out money from a secret slush fund which is not transparent and open.  One person is on trial for it.  And the proof is in the pudding - or the letters which state that Alder's office directed those communities to the funds.  Was not involved in directing where the funding goes?  Guess we know where Alice and iamreallyaliberaldem oc get their love of lying.  Straight from the top.

Adler is already leading Burlco in the polls. So much for your credibility.

And guess where the undecided voters are. Yep, not in OC.

Martin, all one has to do is look at the past 3 years of all your post, predictions and rehtoric to realize you know nothing.

Every race in Burloc you called using your logic, your facts and opinions have all be LOSING! Every one.

All your long, drawn out posts about Diane, Chris Smith, Saxton, Rudder, Addiego, Haines et al have all proven you to be very non believable.

Oh and Indie Oc, what does a Monmouth poll have to do with Burlco? How about this for size, internalo polling in munis in Burlco have Myers leading Adler. Period. That goes for the coveted M' towns, Moorestown, Mt Laurel, Medford and yes, Marlton.

Too bad that I have to say it again. With less than 28 days to the election and the money, endorsements and time Adler has spent have not helped him. The embarrassment is that Myers has not had to worry because he does not have the money and endorsements; he is being who he is and not a slick Trenton Pol.

Makes you think

Oh Alice - can't you go one post without lying?  Adler did not get elected to the State Senate until 1992.  Yet some how in your fantasy world 1992 came before 1990 when he lost to Saxton.  Nice try Dorothy.  Now let's get to the comment that you don't have a silver spoon in your mouth, yet you have such an oral fixation I am wondering what it is in there?  I can think of two things but the least likely is your foot which you constantly have crammed in your mouth.  Now the last you heard I had no job?  From whom did you hear that because that is a lie.  Oh I keep forgetting, that you keep making those false claims.  But please be assured - you are the only one who is a jobless "educator" who is 3 years from going totally bald (have you looked at your picture) and has a "thing" for purses.  I on the other hand have a job, which will be impacted by Obama's record tax increases, have a mortgage and don't live in my mommy's basement in Haddonfield, and don't wear a purse.  Oh yeah - I mentioned that already.  And McCain has not "pulled out" of NJ.  I wish your father did but that is irrelevant.  According to CNN, neither made an ad buy in NJ?  No kidding you idiot.  There is only one network affiliate in the State (AC).  I was in northern NJ two weeks ago and saw 10 campaign ads for McCain from a buy in NYC.  Because NJ is sandwiched between Philly and NYC media markets, there is no need to deal with an AC affiliate.  So technically CNN is correct when it states no ad buy in NJ, but intellectually - where you apparently are lacking despite your constant education - it is wrong.  Buys have been made in Philly and NYC which covers NJ.  And here I gave you too much credit and thought you were a semi-smart.  For those of scoring - purse wearing limp wrested balding educator - dozens of lies, the truth 0.  Keep up the good work Tinker Bell.  The tutu is getting too tight but at least it matches your purse.  There I go again.

How about the Monmouth University one yesterday that showed Adler leading in Burlco. That works.

Pablos, huge logical fallacy in your argument. You cannot compare a 20-something year popular incumbent to Chris Myers. Myers simply does not have the same level of support or name recognition. That is evident from the fact that a 20-point GOP lead 2 years ago has evaporated into a statistical dead heat.

Chris Myers thought he could just run on the GOP brand in NJ-3, but he picked a terrible year to do it. The district has been very moderate on the national level, and will reflect national trends as the popular Jim Saxton is not on the ballot.

And that "hack" Myers is now up by 3% in Burlco according to philly burbs!

Like I said, saying a whole lot nothing. Myers was at an event tonight in Marlton that was a packed house with GOP, Dem and Indies there; I heard it was great!

But if you find comfort in believeing in denial, go right ahead. I just love sitting back and watching Myers gain ground without the amount of endorsements and money that Adler has spent - you know, the same endorsements that you all said were tandamount to Adler winning in a landslide.

Oh and OC, you owe me a new keyboard for spilling my drink laughing at your posts lol

So that rant consisted of nothing but ad hominem attacks. Nothing. the oc thinks that shouting something out, and not backing it up, constitutes proof if you are discussing a GOP candidate.

the oc, three polls have shown us a dead heat in the race. Three polls. You obviously can't comprehend what that means, which will give you a big shock on election day, when Myers is sweating and stammering through an awkward concession speech.

No one has ignored the fact that Bush beat Kerry, that fact will propel Dems nationwide to take seats they wouldn't have otherwise. But Bush only beat Kerry 52-48 in NJ-3. Things are a lot closer on the national level than Jim Saxton's victories suggested.

If you want to talk about shoes dropping on corruption, Myers has just opened a world of hurt for himself by accusing Adler of taking from that slush fund.

Everyone knows about the Burlco GOP and their $2.7 million theft from the taxpayers. Now, Myers is going to have to pay for it.

The papers have reported three. Go on. Make up as many things as you'd like.

Myers keeps receiving money from all of the people involved in the Bridge Commission Scandal. They're in his own backyard, and yet the White Knight won't denounce them, won't ask them to give the money back, won't do anything for Burlco.

This is the same Chris Myers who demanded that John Adler apologize for bloggers. This is a lot more real, Chris, and a lot less ridiculous. Go on. Go do something about the $2.7 million taken from your constituents.

Adler's Campaign is dead on on this one. Myers's silence is deafening.

Claims v. Fact, Number 786:

Pablo3: "Myers is now up by 3% in Burlco according to philly burbs!" (no source cited)

Courier Post: "But in Cherry Hill, Adler's hometown, and Burlington County, Adler is favored 45 percent to 38 percent."

There go those pesky facts again!

Note that these are pre-ad buy polls -- and Myers can't buy any ads, even after bringing in Pres. Bush as his Hail Mary.

Marty, you know that there are many polls and maybe the polls you are quoting are from one source.

Why do the papers say one thing? Oh I forgot, Martin is the know it all behind the races in Burlington. Martin has correctly predicted every race and winner in Burlington for the past four years!

Slush Fund is hurting Adler every day, Johnny Jump to It is still spinning as of todays blogs trying to feign ignorance.

Myers wins easily

Oh Indie OC - I feel sorry that you are that ignorant, last I heard Bush was not running! Who cares>? loll

I remember Alice making those same claims last time when Sexton ran.  Bush was going to bring Saxton down, blah blah blah.  Then, Rickie Perr spent millions on a two prong approach - tie Addiego Rudder and Haines to Bush and throw the bridge commission issue against the wall and see if will stick.  Guess what it got you?  Million wasted.  Feel free to use the same "winning" strategy you used last time.  And the reason Adler is not saying he is losing is because he spent a million dollars and he is LOSING.  It is an embarasment.  He fired one campaign manager because he wasted money and their poll showed Adler losing.  Now, Warren is spending millions and he is down in three polls (Alice - dont get all excited about going down on "polls").  Hire me to tank your campaign - I will even give you a discount Johnny boy. 

I never said Alice is gay.  Please indicate specifically where I stated "Martin is gay."  Or a "homosexual."  I never said either of those so please don't put words in my mouth.  And just because you have no sense of humor does not mean others do not.  So mind your own business for a change.  He is not "smarter" than me.  Obviously he is not smart enough to make his way out of his mother's basement to find a place to live.  He is not smart enough to comprehend the truth.  And he is not smart enough to crop out that purse in his picture.  But I am glad you are his knight in shining armor.  How gallant of you!!  You're a hero.  Myers has lost 19 points?  That has to be the dumbest thing I have heard today and again, you have posted more than once today.  He has been running for less than a year and somehow you tie him to a race 2 years ago?  You are an idiot.  I cannot explain it any other way.  Explain to me why John Adler has "lost" 8 points since he ran last time if you are going to use that stupid logic?  He can't even top what he got the last time he ran?  Moron.  Next week, I am sure the fifth poll will confirm what the first four have - Myers in the lead.  The slush fund is resonating with people.  I have spoken to many of them.  Facts don't lie - but you do.  Next week will also show us which shoe is next to drop.  This is like a bad soap opera for Johnny Bye Bye.  You(r politcal career) didn't have to die.  You(r political career) didn't have to die.  www.firemarkwarren.com

in todays philly burbs www.phillyburbs.com the largest Vet group like the PAC for the vets has not endorsed any canddiate for the 3rd district. They are staying neutral, but at the base of the article, they say that vets do what they need to for each other - very easy to understand.

Independent OC, Andy Grey have made staunch claims that vets will support Adler hands down. I and a few others said that Sam Podietz the head of the Jewish war vets was the first to come out publically for Myers and so far at the events we have been to where they have been there, they are not quiet about their support.

Makes me think about the other claims from the sad Adler clans, but hey, Johnny Jump to it is the one in trouble and well as one release said the other day, the canddiate that spends the most to only be behind or tied is the loser.

Myers wins

Sums up Johnny Bye Bye at the debate.  His silence over whether he will release his ethics report is telling.  And what it is telling me is that he has something to hide.  Another shoe is about to drop - wait for it, wait for it.  This things is just about over with Myers representing the 3rd District,  Four polls - four leads for Myers.

I have heard a few things that Johnny Jump to It will be having to deal with; apparently if I were Adler I would be very nervous now.

But what happend to the vets endorsing Adler? Wow Indie OC you swore that was going to happen but I guess desperate is as desperate does.

Again, Myers wins

When it is a metaphor for scandals dropping on Adler's head - yes I am into shoes.  But not like Alice is into pumps, matching colors with his bags, and those special Saturday nights when the stilettos come out.  And you are calling someone else a liar?  Now I have heard everything.  I could cut and paste a mile of the lies you have spread on here.  Adler has been in the State Senate for 16 years and has be the "champion" of veterans issues - I recall him patting himself on the back and telling everyone who will listen that he wrote some health care bill for vets and a GI bill - yet he can't gather the VFW endorsement against a guy who is the mayor of a small town?  Are you freaking kidding me?  If that isn't a slap in the face I don't know what is.  Adler and corruption - perfect together.  Four polls - four leads for Myers.