June 3, 2008 - 12:35pm

Bush In History

As George W. Bush finishes up his second term as president, some historians and political pundits have already presumed history's judgment on that incumbent.  With the publication of Bush's former press secretary, Scott McClennan's memoir those retrospective judgments have already begun.  Recently a group of historians labeled Bush as the worst president in American history-pushes out Buchanan, Fillmore, Pierce, Grant, and Harding.  It is too early to make such a definitive statement on Bush's role in presidential history, but I do think that one can lay out some tentative markers that will last.

First, how did a president with the highest Gallup ratings in history reach a point where he is probably on the bottom of that pool?  George Bush had a reputation as governor of Texas as a conservative who worked easily with the Democrats and was remarkably well informed on educational reform.  He specifically rejected the tendency of Democrat presidents to support Wilsonian intervention in foreign policy.  He advocated a more modest approach to the world and opposed "nation-building" abroad...  Then his vice president insisted that the Congress and even the federal courts have no authority to restrain the president on maters of national security.  So this nation abandoned its precious right of habeas corpus, set up detention camps, farmed out suspects for torture in foreign countries' primitive jails, violated federal law in its surveillance of citizens' communications, and ignored the Supreme Court's restraints.  The need to confront the disjointed but dangerous terrorists became a holy war with a new federal department, and the Republicans made political hay out of any one who suggested that terrorism is really more of a police problem as the IRA is for England than a full scale war across the world.

Led by Bush's chief strategist, Karl Rove, the GOP ran unscrupulous campaigns impugning the integrity of the opposition party, the media, and even members of the CIA.  It now appears that the Administration used its press friends to blow the cover of a secret agent, an incredible happening from the son of a father who ran and respected the CIA.  The paper trail leads us to Cheney and his hapless aide, Scooter Libby, but McClelland's book shows that the trail leads directly to the president himself.

Bush's popular war in Afghanistan has been followed by a second war in Iraq, a mess of our own creation from which we cannot extricate ourselves.  As the timid Secretary of State at the time, Colin Powell warned-you break it, you buy it. We did and we are.  We have inflamed the entire Arab world including our so called allies in that part of the world. And in combinanation with our knee jerk support of Israel and Bush's lack of interest in the Palestine question until most recently, we have helped to inflame the so called Arabs in the street-a collection of young men who are unemployed, unhappy with their lot, and caught up in religious extremism. 

At home, Bush has been remarkably disengaged from most issues.  He flew over the worse hurricane sight imaginable in New Orleans looking down at the destruction like Zeus on Mount Olympus.  Bill Clinton would have been down there the next day hugging people and filling bags with dirt on the banks of the levies.  But Bush was vacationing at beautiful Crawford.  He had had a tough couple of months. 

When he was reelected, he announced that he had plenty of political capital to spend on his conservative changes, and he unwisely chose to hit the Democrats where that befuddled party is the strongest-Social Security.  People were not willing to scrap the venerable entitlement program of FDR for chits in the stock market which came hurtling down a year ago, proving that AARP was correct.  Bush actually suffered his first defeat on Social Security, and followed it up with the string of public opinion losses due to the Iraqi war. 

The few talking heads loyal to Bush II have said that his historic role is dependent on if he played a true role in the democratic transformation of the autocracies in the Middle East.  Those nations may indeed change governments, but one should not expect that they will result in Lockean representative institutions of toleration.  Political changes in Lebanon, Palestine, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait have not give those people more responsive governments than the wearisome, decadent Egyptian regime.  Even in Turkey one must wonder how secure the secularism of Ataturk now is.  In any case, if the Middle East suddenly becomes Japan and Germany after the war, then Bush can claim some credit.  Now all he can claim is blood and ashes.

Great presidents are usually great rhetoricians or great writers of public documents.  I doubt if one can make that case for Bush's communications skills.  Still, he was reelected president, so somebody is listening.  Great and good presidents are people who have strong management skills, a sense of vision that works out and that bring out the very best in the American people.

Michael P. Riccards is Executive Director of the Hall Institute of Public Policy - New Jersey.

Comments

And stem cells


And let’s not forget how he single-handedly scuttled hope and a better quality of life for so many, including those suffering grievously from his war, by imposing his strident religious views on the country and so curtailing stem cell research.

06/03/08 4:05 pm

SoWeary of obfuscated arguements


Please tell me how embryonic stem cell research, which to date has only yielded mutant malignancies and not a single viable notion of advancement in medicine, could help those grievously suffering from this war, let alone the Michael J Foxes and Christopher Reeveses of this world? Do you honestly think stem cells would result in growing new limbs for some of our iraqi war vet amputees or magically combat PTSD? You can't be that delusional. Soweary insists on spouting Snake Oil as miracle cures and conveniently blurring the distinction between stem cells (which Bush supports and science has documented significant research gains) and embryonic stem cells (which Bush opposes and research has yielded nothing but dead ends). Thankfully History will not waste its time on such a non-issue to judge this president honestly. George W Bush has made many mistakes for which he is paying the price now but opposing embryonic stem cell research is hardly one of them.

06/03/08 6:34 pm

Agreed, ResurrectingReagan


Mr. Riccards didn't mention President Bush's biggest mistake--not being a true conservative. Expanding federal government, creating a new federal agency, the largest expansion of entitlements since Johnson, using traditionally liberal conceptions of warfare and the nation's role abroad (Wilson and spreading democracy, Truman with presidential war powers in Korea, and Johnson with presidential war powers in Vietnam).

The man who said "When people are hurting, they need a caring person, not a government bureaucracy," further bureaucracized the muddled Healthcare system with his $500 billion expansion of Medicare.

Hold up, why do liberals hate Bush again?

06/03/08 7:31 pm

excellent, YoungNJ!


Perhaps "compassionate conservative" was merely another way of saying liberal democrat. I wonder just how many generations removed from the New Deal we will have to be before either party truly breaks away from it and not simply talk about breaking from it? Certainly this November won't offer such a moment.

06/04/08 11:57 am

Riccards is an idiot


Sorry, but I've come to that conclusion. I see he conveniently leaves out Jimmy Carter, the author of 21% interest rates, 15% unemployment and 16% inflation. Carter also caved on foriegn policy and couldn't free our hostages after 444 days.
He talks about Clinton going to New Orleans but conveniently forgets that Kathleen Blanco failed to sign a declaration allowing federal help in the disaster.
Riccards talks about running "unscrupulous campaigns", but forgets that was the expertise of the Clinton administration with the "bimbo eruptions" team, attacking anyone who dared challenge the Clintons. Clinton sold nuke technology to the Chinese for campaign cash, oversaw the murder of over 80 Branch Dividians and had three shots to get Bin Laden and declined.
And, oh, that's right, Clinton is an admitted felon.
Bush is certainly not the best President, to be sure. But Bush needs to be compared in an unbiasd fashion, and Riccards certainly is not the person to make that judgement, as past columns have proven.
The one thing I admire about Bush is that the buck absolutely stopped with him. He took the blame for the Katrina mess and never blamed Blanco or Nagin, and they were equally culpable. He never blamed his advisors in Iraq, he took the blame. That is sommething that never could be said for Clinton, who was always pointing the finger at someone else.

06/04/08 12:18 pm

to RR


I venture your Reagan would have had a better quality end of life if there had been greater opportunity for progress in embryonic stem cell research, an opinion Nancy Reagan, strongly supporting embryonic stem cell research, presumably shares. I have yet to hear a politically neutral scientist dismiss the promise of embryonic stem cell research as other than superior to that of other forms. Work happens where there is freedom and funding to do it.

It discourages me that we can’t engage in debate with more civility than I often see on this site. Why is it you need take on my person in addition to my paragraph?

06/05/08 6:51 pm

Sorry--mistake


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06/05/08 6:55 pm

Bush's failures are too many to list briefly


Bush certainly betrayed conservatism, but he also betrayed the ideals of democracy. He betrayed Americans who work for a living and sold out the elderly, to boot. He messed up after Katrina, converted unanimous world support after 9-11 into total acrimony and antipathy by invading Iraq. He undermined the Constitution and gave away America's economic advantages. Clinton, Carter, the first Bush and Reagan all had faults -- some great -- but GWB Jr tops the list of worst presidents because he earned that disticntion. He turned the world to flames because he wanted to be remembered in history as a 'war president' and he shall be remembered --- just as Hitler, Attila the Hun and Ghengis Khan are remembered. Blood thirsty maniacs make an impression on history, so maybe it is time to glorify something besides conquest and death. Bobby Kennedy, Martin Luther King Jr., Ghandi and even Jesus Christ preached that all mankind is a brotherhood (with my apologies to our sisters for the weakness of this English language). What would come of this planet if a president who truly loved humanity was able to spend $600 billion a year, not on war, but on peace? A safe and free alternative source of energy, food sufficient to feed ten billion people, an end to sickness, and education for everyone -- these are goals worthy of our human race. Destroying anything depreciates the concept of God and those who claim to believe in some almighty being are often the first to betray love by embracing hatred. George Bush Jr is the worst president in history because he just does not get it.

06/06/08 9:57 am

So weary of this thread, yet?


Weary, I appreciate your attempts at Obaminizing public discourse (please don’t attack anything I say or do but to the extent you feel you need to, don’t attack me only my message so long as you are ready to apologize when I take offense to that) but my calling you delusional was not an attack as much as it was an observation as you so ridiculously claim embryonic stem cell research, if only funded publicly, would save our war vets. That is a delusional statement if ever one was uttered. And in true Obama fashion, rather than respond with evidence to back the claim you respond with you are picking on me. The simple roadblock to your argument for taxpayer funded embryonic stem cell research is to date no evidence has shown beneficial results of such research. Additionally, Bush didn’t block all research, just publicly funded research. Any private entity willing to pay for embryonic research can do so. Science is free to fund this research all it wants; no freedom is being thwarted. As for Reagan benefiting from such research, again I say, prove how his 96 years would have been prolonged from as yet unproven experimentation. Need I remind you when Alzheimer’s first began interfering with the life of President Reagan, discussions on the proper use of dead baby parts was still in at the macro-level. It wasn’t until well into his final years, when the disease had taken permanent hold, had the discussion changed to micro. Even if Bush approved public funding for embryonic stem cell, Reagan would not have benefited from it. Neither would have Superman, nor will every middle-aged republican male’s role model, Alex P. Keaton, because the science isn’t there. It is a dead end. Death begets death, it’s a cosmic thing. And stop being so disheartened and discouraged (and weary). Negative energy draws more negative energy. That’s cosmic, too.

06/06/08 12:19 pm

Of all the things that went


Of all the things that went wrong in the Bush presidency, stem cell research wouldn't even make the top 10, imo... so I don't understand the contention here.

06/08/08 9:09 am

Fair enough. I won’t argue


Fair enough. I won’t argue the ranking of Bush’s failings. Each would experience the impacts differently depending on where he sits.

RR: I find that a rather creative misinterpretation of “Why is it you need take on my person in addition to my paragraph?”

Public funding has significantly greater impact, and ripple effects on private funding.

Blastocytes are not “dead baby parts.” They are discarded routinely from fertility clinics. Congress twice passed a law—the Stem Cell Research Enhancement Act-- to allow federal funding for stem cell research on those blastocytes that donors choose to donate to science rather than discard, and both times Bush vetoed it

Stem cell therapies might assist traumatic brain injury, spinal cord injury, severed nerves, for example.

I don’t see much of a chance of influencing your views, and I’m comfortable with others drawing their own conclusions. I’ll stick with the scientists.

06/09/08 12:34 am