Battleground Monmouth and the Guadagno LG option

By Max Pizarro | June 29th, 2009 - 5:28pm
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Battleground Monmouth and the Guadagno LG option Monmouth County Sheriff Kim Guadagno

In recent years, a few inter-party contests stand out as wars, and as George W. Bush's numbers threatened to flat-line in New Jersey, Democrats felt a surge of confidence in Monmouth County, where they ramrodded GOP excess and Bush backlash into annual wins on the freeholder board and a Senate victory by Ellen Karcher for territory that could be described as leaning in their favor but finally uneasy.

2007 proved the Democrats' penultimate chance to squeeze as much citizen angst as possible out of the GOP's control of Monmouth and Bush's perceived deepsixing of his own party, and nowhere was the countervailing intensity better demonstrated than Jennifer Beck's challenge of Karcher in the 12th District and, in less publicized if no less intense fashion, Kim Guadagno's battle with Belmar Police Chief Jack Hill for a vacancy at county sheriff.  

Both women won - Guadagno narrowly - and in the process earned reputations as tough, well-prepared campaigners.

Consequently, at various stages of Chris Christie's journey as a Republican gubernatorial candidate, Beck and Guadagno have been mentioned in GOP circles as potential candidates for lieutenant governor, with the former's name surfacing as early as last summer while Christie was still U.S. Attorney, then fading for the most part; and Guadagno's coming louder late in the process here.

If the potential LG candidacies of Bergen County Clerk Kathe Donovan and state Sen. Diane Allen (R-Burlington) have generated more ink than either Beck's or Guadagno's,  the latter two share an advantage of having weathered some of the most brutal and competitive dynamics of recent Monmouth County election history.

In that 2007 cycle, Senate President Richard Codey's (D-Roseland) $6 million buck-up of Karcher and South Jersey Democratic boss George Norcross III simultaneous buttressing of Karcher's Assembly running mates made Beck's run that much more of a frontline effort, with those statewide egos at stake. 

While not as glamorous and ubiqutous that year, the Guadagno-Hill race was about as hard-boiled as any Republican-Democratic contest of this decade, with Monmouth County Democratic Chairman Vic Scudiery enamored of Hill's blue collar candidacy and Republicans equally exhilarated by Guadagno's thickset resume, which included prosecutorial background, jobs as assistant state Attorney General and assistant U.S. Attorney, and a professorship at Rutgers-Newark.

Now Guadagno has emerged as a legitimate shortlist LG candidate, according to Republican insiders.

"Christie is ten points up in the polls, and at this point he doesn't want someone who would hurt him," said a GOP source. "Kim Guadagno is someone he knows, someone he's worked with, and she's faired very well during the vetting process."

Guadagno didn't return calls for comment. 

During the Republican Primary, she told PolitickerNJ.com that she is focused on her job as sheriff and would not respond to questions about lieutenant governor. 

But it's Guadagno - who during her 2007 campaign championed the federal deputization of local law enforcement officials under the provisions of 287(g) of the federal Immigration and Nationality Act - getting the late-in-the-game insider LG buzz as Christie sizes up his options.

In part because of her hard line stance on illegal immigration, allies of movement conservative Steve Lonegan labored hard to try to land Guadagno's endorsement in the GOP primary, and although she backed Christie, former Lonegan primary allies like her for lieutenant governor.

"I've met her and heard her speak and she seems to be a Reagan consevative," said Assemblyman (and state Sen.-elect) Mike Doherty (R-Washington Twp.) "It's the message of the person at the top of the ticket which is going to win the governor's race, but certainly the sheriff makes an attractive candidate." 

Guadagno also impresses more moderate Republicans like state Sen. Sean Kean (R-Wall), who've watched her campaign and work up close.

"I think Kim would be fantastic. Basically she's chief executive officer and hundreds of people report to her," said Kean. "She's a very capable individual, has a great sense of humor, and she's attractive physically, which doesn't hurt in politics. We need a big number out of Monmouth, which is why Kim or Jen would be great for the Christie ticket. 

"I would be thrilled if it was Kim or Jen, but if either of them becomes lieutenant governor, we would also have to be thinking about keeping that senate and sheriff's seat," added the senator, ever-conscious of the warzone Monmouth has been over the course of these recent years.

If there is an obvious downside to Guadagno, besides the possibility that she might project too much conservatism for what is ultimately a blue state - and this from GOP insiders - it's that her law enforcement profile mirrors Christie's professional background, which arguably wouldn't provide the best confidence builder for a party looking to prove its economic know-how during this nationall recession. 

But Republicans still smarting over the back-to-back meltdowns of Anne Estabrook and Andy Unanue as statewide candidates look at an aggressive and tested winner like Guadagno, who held Republican territory in a hard election year, and they aren't surprised when the word is she's holding her own through the LG vetting process. 

Who will stand-up for the AMERICAN WORKER?

If the administration--SEALS THE BORDER--according The People, not half measures as favored by the open border, free traders. Then after ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION is more or less eradicated through using such powerful tools as E-Verify, and even a National ID card and other major enforcement application. Then we can start recruiting the cream of PH.d, Scientist, Engineers and other professional people and introduce this point system, as used by Australia, New Zealand and other industrialized countries.. American has been overwhelmed with the destitute, uneducated and handicapped that has costing the US taxpayers trillions of dollars through the 4 prior Presidents, and still accelerating at an alarming rate.

Governors, Mayors, judges do copious talking about the most urgent issues, that are causing a major impact on the jobless and the American workers wallet and purse.--BUT DO--LITTLE OR NOTHING. Our elected officials have been brought and sold by businesses specifically in California. If they didn't spend all their time like our politicians using non-financial distractions to hid the virulent problems that burdens our nation. Taxpayers are support businesses they hire cheap labor around the country and have allowed it to get so embedded in our nation, only enforcing laws rigidly can remove the virus. Even with double digit unemployment the Washington legislators want to grant yet another AMNESTY--the 8th one. All the money spent on benefits for illegal workers should be spent on the crumbling infrastructure of our country, not people who came here without legal rights?

In border states the occupancy of foreign nationals has become so prevalent, that I'm surprised to see the United States flag flying above schools, hospitals, government buildings and prison compounds. At the speed of this occupation of illegal aliens and their families, California, Texas and Arizona will have urban sprawl even into the deserts. California--THE SANCTUARY STATE fell foul to illegal immigration, many the years back and has been suffering under the Liberal Sacramento assembly pandering to them ever since. Now they are hurting with a $24.billion dollar budget, that according to City Manager 11 billion can be directly attributed to the the illegal immigrant invasion. For more factual data, not propaganda or naked lies go to NUMBERSUSA JUDICIALWATCH to stop 2nd AMNESTY? STOP FUNDING TO SANCTUARY STATES! NO MORE RAISED TAXES TO PAY ILLEGAL ALIENS & FAMILIES! IMMIGRATION LAWS ARE NOT BROKEN---JUST NOT ENFORCED! CALL YOUR SENATOR OR REPRESENTATIVE NOW.

Diane Allen for LG

Here's why Diane Allen makes sense as Christie's LG running mate:
1. She's hugely popular and well known in South Jersey from her days as news anchorwoman for KYW TV in Philadelphia.

2. She filed a discrimination lawsuit over her termination. Though the settlement required no disclosure of terms, Diane's battle against the "glass ceiling" adds to her appeal to female voters.

3. Diane is a small business owner, operating a video production company. She can speak to NJ's over-regulation of businesses from the perspective of a small buisiness owner.

4. She's a great public speaker, as you would expect from a tv news reporter.

5. The Dems have targeted Diane for several elections but she has survived.

Not Going To Happen!

Kim Guadagno will never be his LG pick.

She is smarter than he is. She has no skeletons. She has an untranished reputation. She is tough and not arrogant. She is a true conservative who believes what she is saying and doing, not pandering for political purposes.

All this, plus she can't balance the ticket because she weighs about 250lbs less than Christie does.

She is a true conservative. Why would she ruin her future political chances by latching onto CC's nonsense?

On the other hand, she is clearly the best and most qualified but with his ego, I just don't see it happening.

no balance

Having 2 law enforcement types on the ticket makes no sense.Plus a first term sheriff has no base and Chris will win Monmouth any way so Kim brings nothing to the ticket

ouhy

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