Fourth district congressional candidate Josh Zeitz has been added to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s “races to watch” list.
The placement could put Zeitz, who’s challenging long-term incumbent U.S. Rep. Chris Smith (R-Hamilton), on deck to receive fundraising help from the DCCC over the next two months.
The “races to watch” category is the third tier of the group’s prospects. The first tier – the “Red to Blue” program - provides fundraising help in the most competitive districts. Assemblywoman Linda Stender, who’s running against Republican state Sen. Leonard Lance for an open seat in District 7, and State Sen. John Adler, who’s running Republican Medford Mayor Chris Myers for an open seat in District 3, are in that program. Blind rabbi/psychologist Dennis Shulman, who’s running against U.S. Rep. Scott Garrett in the 5th District, is in the second tier “emerging races” program.
“The targeting demonstrates that the DCCC believes this race is competitive and worth investment,” read a press releases from the Zeitz campaign. “Demographic shifts have created the unique conditions for beating 28 year incumbent Chris Smith. Democrats now enjoy a voter registration edge in the 4th District and consistently win the district at the Presidential, Gubernatorial and Senate levels. With boosted turnout and registration expected from urban areas like Trenton, Zeitz is poised for one of the biggest upsets of the cycle.”
The classification of the district, however, was not based on polling data.
Political analyst Stu Rothenberg today wrote about the DCCC’s lists, calling them “gimmicks to try to drive resources and media coverage to them without the committee necessarily having to spend its own money on candidates who have little or no chance of winning.” Rothenberg was puzzled as to why the Democrats would add several long shot races to their lists just as political prospects are beginning to look up for Republicans.
Three of the 15 candidates named to the "emerging races" category -- newly created last year -- won their races. Seven more went on to run again and become top tier races this time around. The category of "races to watch" did not exist.
Smith campaign manager Martin Gillespie, however, agreed with Rothenberg's assessment.
"We agree with Rothenberg when he says Chris Smith is 'incredibly popular and holds a commanding lead in the race,' said Gillespie. “When nationally respected Stu Rothenberg selects your opponent's campaign as an "absurd" example of how the DCCC is undermining its own credibility, that just about says it all.”
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Laughable...
Oh Please Waste money on resources and polling in NJ-4. Smith will win with over 70% of the vote..watch.
3rd Tier?
The DCCC is dreaming - or just pandering to a candidate who is not going to win. To the extent they have tiers, the Dems should truthfully put this race in the 7th or 8th tier.
3rd Tier?
The DCCC is dreaming - or just pandering to a candidate who is not going to win. To the extent they have tiers, the Dems should truthfully put this race in the 7th or 8th tier.
3rd Tier?
The DCCC is dreaming - or just pandering to a candidate who is not going to win. To the extent they have tiers, the Dems should truthfully put this race in the 7th or 8th tier.
3rd Tier?
The DCCC is dreaming - or just pandering to a candidate who is not going to win. To the extent they have tiers, the Dems should truthfully put this race in the 7th or 8th tier.
3rd Tier?
The DCCC is dreaming - or just pandering to a candidate who is not going to win. To the extent they have tiers, the Dems should truthfully put this race in the 7th or 8th tier.
Poor Josh
Poor Joshy, someone has to give him some recognition for being the foolish sacrifical lamb.
Smith by 60% easily and the way the Presidential is going, look for a win in the 3rd and other Districts!
blue-to-red in N.J.?
I'm curious: What congressional races in N.J. will Republicans be watching on election night that will be blue-to-red? It must be torturous to be an N.J. Republican, watching each election as more congressional seats are lost, each new promising senate candidate gets vanquished, and national GOP resources are allocated to the state that could be used elsewhere (Actually, scratch the latter, as the national GOP have all but given up on N.J.; as our illustrious president says, "Fool me once..."). Zeitz, along with Shulman and Kurkowski, alone has raised more money than every Republican congressional challenger for Dem seats in the state combined. After this election, the congressional alignment will be 9-4 for Democrats in N.J.; then we'll pick off LoBiondo's seat in a (very near) election, if Kurkowski doesn't pull an upset.
I'm strongly recommending that anyone living in the Fourth district genuinely study Chris Smith's record compared to Josh Zeitz's policy proposals on alternative energy, the Iraq War, and other issues. Though Smith is certainly favored, Dr. Zeitz is clearly the superior candidate.
OMG! Recognition!--who really cares?
Smith will crush Zeitz, Adler will beat Myers by a sizable margin (red-to-blue, though not as big as Smith), and the real contest: Lance vs. Stender.
Both District 7 candidates have worthy records. But I like Lance's personality more than Stender's, so I'm cheering for the little man with the sanguine complexion.
Disagree
Smith will slam Zeitz easily. Zeitz is a nobody and I think Myers will win in Burlco because that is his home turf and people do not know who Adler is.
The fact that NJ is in play for the top of the ticket says volumes too!
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