McCain in statistical dead heat with Clinton and Obama in New Jersey

By Matt Friedman | March 31st, 2008 - 10:41am
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A Rasmussen poll released this morning shows Republican presidential candidate John McCain in a statistical dead heat with both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton in New Jersey.

McCain holds slight leads against both Obama and Clinton in the Garden State, though both within the poll’s margin of error.

McCain leads Clinton 45%-42%, while he leads Obama by a slightly narrower margin – 46%-45%.

That’s a major change from a month ago, when Rasmussen showed Clinton beating McCain in New Jersey by 11 points. But while Clinton’s support seems to have plunged, Obama remains almost exactly the same – last month, McCain led him 45-43%.

The poll also measured President Bush’s approval rating in New Jersey. 28% of residents said he was doing “good or excellent” job as president, while 54% rated his performance as poor.

The poll surveyed 500 New Jersey likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus four percent. It was conducted on Thursday, March 27.

 

 

Blue State?

Just goes to show you that NJ isn't as blue as people think it is!  

Now we need to get the Dem's out of Drumthwacket before the entire middle class leaves NJ!

"A government big enough to give you everything you want is strong enough to take everything you have.” - Thomas Jefferson

War weary

I think this is pretty indicative of how tired people are of hearing and reading about Clinton and Obama trying to throw haymakers to knock the other one out. They're both landing blows and as a result, are showing why they are both totally unelectable.

The Republicans are doing the smart thing right now by staying out of it. It's like Woodrow Wilson once said; "Never kill somebody who's about to commit suicide."

"Who the hell are you???"- Bill Pascoe

McCain's Chances in N.J.

Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters in the country, but their polls for the 2008 election have been strikingly different than other pollsters in the country (my hypothesis is that they are underpolling new voters), which have Obama slightly ahead of McCain.

Deep into the summer of 2004, I distinctly remember the Right-leaning realclearpolitics.com trumpeting a N.J. poll showing Bush leading Kerry -- and Kerry, a weaker candidate than Obama IMO, went on to win the state by 7%. With very little organizational support in the state, and a much weaker GOTV effort and organization than its Democratic counterparts, state Republicans shouldn't be holding out for a McCain miracle in N.J., especially since the national GOP probably won't be giving money and support to Pennacchio, the probable GOP senate candidate.

John McCain

John McCain is very well known and well liked in New Jersey. Voters know who he is and where he stands on the issues and has across the board appeal. To attempt to dismiss that is either naive or deliberately done out of fear.

I'm betting on the latter.

"Who the hell are you???"- Bill Pascoe

Hello, it is March now.

It is way too early to poll on such topics. It is just a waste of time for everybody. Just look at TV pundits and you will get the picture.

McCain wins N.J

John McCain will win New Jersey and will become the next President .The people will be heard in November and will vote for John based on the issues.John McCain also has a New Jersey team that is second to none.Senator Baroni and his team will lead us to victory.Never Surrender.

NJ for Mac

He is the perfect Republican for Reagan Democrats and Independents, and Baroni and O'Toole are not bad politicos to have on your side. The Democrats probably won't to come out of their houses after the Senate primary and budget madness.

Tigeryankee

What are you smoking? Dead heat means a 3-way tie. Thus McCain would have to get his third, plus more than 50 percent of the Democrat loser's voters to cross over, not just stay home. New Jersey is beyond help. Forever Blue.

The New Jerssey GOP are only interested in winning so that they control how to distribute the plunder to Republican special interests, not to fix this Godforsaken State. Tom Wilson, the Kean family, the Whitmans etc. must be expunged from the party.

 

"Hollywood is a place whre thy'll pay you a thousand dollars for a kiss and 50 cents for your soul." - Marilyn Monroe (She never knew how profound she was.)

Martin...

RCP isn't right leaning..I don't understand what would even bring you to say that. All they do is just post polls and articles from different newspapers, magazines, blogs, etc. And they post stuff that comes from both ends and in the middle, so I'm not exactly sure how they can be right leaning at all.

At this point in the game it's too early, but this shows that people in New  Jersey are smarter then to be convinced by the dem rhetoric that "Bush=McCain". It's not sticking folks, try something else.

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