On Election Day eve, analysts offer predictions

On Election Day eve, analysts offer predictions

It's election eve, which means that it's time to journey up the Ivory Tower to hear what political analysts think will happen tomorrow.The four analysts PolitickerNJ.com talked to today were unanimous in predicting a big win for Barack Obama over John McCain both nationally and in New Jersey, and were nearly certain that incumbent U.S. Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D-Cliffside Park) would easily beat down the challenge by former Rep. Dick Zimmer.   They were also unanimous in picking state Sen. John Adler (D-Cherry Hill) over Republican Medford Mayor Chris Myers in the 3rd Congressional District. Three out of four predicated that U.S. Rep. Scott Garrett (R-Wantage) would beat challenger Dennis Shulman in the 5th District, but by a narrow margin.  Three out of four also felt that Assemblywoman Linda Stender (D-Fanwood) had the edge in her race against state Sen. Leonard Lance (R-Flemington) in the 7th Congressional District, while one gave Lance a narrow victory.

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Dickey, former Assembly Speaker, dies

Dickey, former Assembly Speaker, dies
William K. Dickey (1920-2008)

Former Assembly Speaker William K. Dickey died early this morning at age 88 after battling Parkinsons Disease and Diabetes.  

A Republican from Camden County, Dickey was elected to the State Assembly in 1963 and was re-elected in four times.  He was defeated in the 1973 Watergate landslide, and lost comeback bids in 1975 and 1977.

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Codey lends his voice for Shulman

Speaking on a conference call a few hours prior to joining congressional candidate Dennis Shulman to appeal to commuters at Hoboken Terminal, Senate President Dick Codey asked what New Jerseyans have to gain by sending U.S. Rep. Scott Garrett (R-Wantage) back for another term.

“If you look at it now, what do we gain by sending Garrett back? People in the Republican Party say he’s a marginal figure, and he’s a marginal figure in the minority,” he said.

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Pindell Report makes final predictions for Election Day

Pindell Report makes final predictions for Election Day

The Pindell Report, Politicker.com's political and campaign forecast, has released its final projections for Election Day. Using polling, historical and demographic trends, tracking campaign visits and spending, The Pindell Report ranks races in terms of their competitiveness and their status as either a toss-up or leaning or likely voting in a particular way.

In New Jersey, The Pindell Report's final breakdown is as follows:

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Poll: Obama leads McCain by 15 points

A new Rasmussen Reports poll has Barack Obama leading John McCain by a 57%-42% margin in New Jersey, with a 17-point lead among undecided voters.

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DeCroce, Codey won't take lie detector tests

The Star-Ledger won’t be administering a polygraph test any time soon.

Assembly Minority Leader Alex DeCroce had said that he would take a lie detector test to verify his account of an argument in which he alleged that Senate President Dick Codey tried to warn him off of pursuing details about a legislative slush fund through a mix of threats and temptations with state funds.

But since Codey has refused to take the test, DeCroce told the paper that he would not agree to take it either. 

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Hillary Clinton records robocall for Josh Zeitz

Fourth District residents are getting calls from Hillary Clinton.

Clinton recorded a robocall for Democrat Josh Zeitz, who’s challenging U.S. Rep. Chris Smith (R-Hamilton) – the longest-serving incumbent in the state.

“Hi, this is Senator Hillary Clinton calling to ask you to vote for Josh Zeitz for Congress on Tuesday, November 4th,” she says in the call. “Josh Zeitz knows that your priorities are to repair this broken economy and ensure that all Americans receive quality, affordable health care, and these will be his priorities in Congress.”

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War of endorsements in 5th District

War of endorsements in 5th District
Former presidential candidates Steve Forbes and Rudy Giuliani have endorsed U.S. Rep. Scott Garrett for re-election.

It’s a war of endorsements in the 5th District today.

U.S. Rep. Scott Garrett’s (R-Wantage) campaign just rolled out its second big name election eve endorsement: publishing tycoon Steve Forbes.

Forbes, a New Jersey native, kept his endorsement brief.

“I’ve known Scott for years. He’s a fiscal conservative who puts taxpayers before big government,” he said in a statement. “Congress needs more common-sense leaders like him.”

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The Back Room

Holdsworth tapped to direct statewide Democratic coordinated campaign for 2014 election cycle

TRENTON - John Currie, the New Jersey Democratic State Committee (NJDSC) Chairman, announced on Wednesday that the Democratic coordinated campaign for the November elections will begin this month and that Jennifer Holdsworth, the party's political director, has been tapped to lead the 2014 coordinated campaign effort. 

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Wake-Up Call

Morning Digest: July 23rd

Between RGA gigs, Christie doesn't skip a beat bashing Trenton Dems at seaside LGI town hall LONG BEACH ISLAND – Gov. Chris Christie squeezed LBI between trips to IowaNew HampshireConnecticut and – tomorrow – Colorado – just long enough to puncture his favorite Trenton-based targets in front of a...

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Op-Ed

Legislation needed to restore balance in election financing

By JEFF BRINDLE Much has been written about the magnitude of campaign spending by independent special interest groups.  But until now, there has been little discussion about the impact. During the 2012 Presidential and Congressional contests,... Read More >

Contributors

(7-23-14) Rabner Opinion Keeps “Christie for President” Alive - Gov. Chris Christie’s fight to prevent same-sex marriage in New Jersey ended with Chief Justice Stuart Rabner.... more »
The Perry-Paul Debate is Healthy for the GOP – and for America  The foreign policy debate in the media between prospective GOP Presidential candidates Texas Governor Rick Perry and... more »
(Washington DC)-- Two recent votes on Capitol Hill suggest an overdue and radical departure from our nation's Draconian and costly War on Drugs.  It's a long-overdue discussion (and not just... more »
New Jersey 2014 Primary Day Recap (6/4/14) - By the numbers. Worth the read for those interested in GOTV targeting and ballot position logistics.... more »

Quote of the Day

quote of the day

“We lived up to our end of the bargain. He didn’t live up to his end of the deal.” - Ed Connolly, president of the New Jersey Firemen’s Benevolent Association.

- The Bergen Record

Poll

Who's right on the death penalty?:

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