
A new Rasmussen Reports poll has Republican Christopher Christie leading Gov. Jon Corzine by two points, 41%-39%, with 11% for independent Christopher Daggett.
Rasmussen had Christie ahead 45%-41% in their October 15 poll, with Daggett at 11%.
Rasmussen’s release says that “Christie’s edge in the race has been fading rapidly” – a development unsurprising in light of the New Jersey Democrats’ history of catching up or taking a lead in the polls closer to election day.
“Adding to the challenge this year, Corzine is expected to heavily outspend Christie during the final days which could be a game-changing factor,” wrote the pollster.
Over the last several weeks, the number of Daggett supporters and undecided voters have increased, while support for both Corzine and Christie has decreased. And Daggett’s support does appear to be solidifying.
Corzine’s favorable ratings remain upside down, at 41% favorable to 57% unfavorable, while Christie is at 47% favorable to 47% unfavorable (38% of respondents have a “very unfavorable” view of Corzine, while 27% feel that strongly about Christie). Daggett is seen favorably by 44% and unfavorably by 32%, while 25% were not sure.
Corzine’s approval ratings are virtually the same as his favorable ratings, with 41% of respondents approving and 58% disapproving.
The pollster found that 62% of respondents who initially expressed support for Daggett said they’d stick with them, while 24% said they would end up voting for Christie and 14% said they would vote for Corzine.
When asked which candidate they trusted more on taxes, 39% picked Christie, 28% picked Corzine and 16% picked Daggett. Fourty-two percent trusted Christie more on cutting government spending, compared to 23% for Corzine and 16% for Daggett. Christie was also seen by 42% as the most likely to crack down on government corruption, compared to 26% for Corzine and 17% for Daggett.
All in all, the race is a complete toss-up, Rasmussen found.
“At this point, anybody who says with confidence how this race will turn out is either deluding themselves or attempting to delude someone else. The Democrats clearly have an edge in New Jersey when it comes to turnout, but the wavering Daggett supporters and undecided voters are more likely to head in the Republican direction than to the Democratic incumbent,” wrote the pollster.
Rasmussen surveyed 750 likely voters on October 19. The automated poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4%.
Garden State Equality fires new broadside at Dems Smarting over the state Senate's refusal to pass marriage equality and disillusioned at the moment with the Democratic Party majority, Garden State Equality’s 85-member Board of Directors unanimously decided against giving financial contributions to political parties and their affiliated committees. ...
“We will work harder and smarter to protect consumers, to preserve civil rights, to effectively regulate the alcoholic beverage industry, to ensure that the integrity of New Jersey’s casino gaming industry continues, to keep drives, passengers and pedestrians safe on our streets, to assist victims of crimes, and to remember always the importance of juvenile justice on issues affecting the state." -- Attorney General-designate Paula Dow, at her Senate confirmation hearing.
- PolitickerNJ.com, 02/08/10Press releases are submitted by PolitickerNJ users, not by staff. They do not represent the viewpoint of PolitickerNJ.com.
The problem
The lack of GOP machinery outside Ocean and the NW. There is no grinder to turnout Republicans and conservative Demopendents in Middlesex, Passaic and Bergen. If the RNC and dedicated local volunteers can overcome this, we can pull this off.
Lonegan voters Killing Christie
Christie should never have ignored and taken for granted the 140,000 Lonegan voters.
His campaigns arrogant answer of "who else you going to vote for"has now created a dire situation.
His refusal to campaign with Lonegan or include Lonegan people in his campaign has genuinely upset conservative Lonegan backers who don't like being told to "sit down,shut up,and just vote Republican".
Lonegan voters have taken up the Daggett mantra of "its never bad to vote for the right person".
Christie has commited the mortal sin of politics. NEVER TAKE VOTERS SUPPORT FOR GRANTED.
Helping Christie
I am helping Christie here in Bergen County. We can pull this off. The state cant take anymore bills/taxes put on the people who work to float NJ welfare state...its got to stop.
LOONYGAN?
He lost remember back in June. Lonegan is only out for Lonegan. Check is home town elec reports. He never donated a dime to his own party in his own town.
Lonegan future is toast in Bergen
Republican Establishment arrogance
All of a sudden Christie is telling everyone that a vote for Daggett is a wasted vote.
He said the same about Lonegan.
Over 140,000 Republicans came out for Lonegan and voted their convictions.
The Republican establishment laughed.
Now those 140,000, who have been told to sit down,shutup,and vote straight Republican are answering with their feet.
When the arrogant and condescending Christie loses by 30,000 votes I bet he wished that he had not taken the Lonegan votes for granted.
The smug Republican establishment took Lonegan voters for granted.
They will lose the election because of their arrogance.
firstamend
You must be a Democrat stirring the shinola. Christie and Lonegan have met multiple times...Lonegan supporters have filled the various Headquarters around the state and donated money.
Your posts and are filled with lies and misinformation....Christie will win by 2%. Deal with it...
Christie will not win
Christie is way to corrupt for the majority of voters.
The only people who will vote for him are those blinded by their loyalty to the GOP and news flash... This is a blue state.
How can you ignore the constant drip of corruption scandals about christie. Every day something new.
"When the arrogant and
"When the arrogant and condescending Christie loses by 30,000 votes I bet he wished that he had not taken the Lonegan votes for granted."
And if Christie went after 30,000 conservative voters by embracing Losegan's reactionary agenda he would have lost 60,000 moderate Republican and independent voters to Daggett.
Unlike conservatives, who can do nothing but feel disrespected, sit home on election day and cry in their kool-aid, moderates have multiple choices in this election. If they perceive Christie as too conservative they can vote for Daggett or even Corzine.
I notice Daggett's number is stagnant at 11%. If he starts to move up it will likely hurt Christie and swing this election to Corzine.
http://christiegonewild.blogspot.com/
Finally !
I am so happy to see a establishment republican finally admit that the Christie game plan was to ignore Lonegan voters.
The only problem is that your numbers are wrong. Christie will lose 140,000 votes not 30,000.
Looks like another loss for the establishment Republicans.
Some people never learn............