Rasmussen poll: Christie 41%, Corzine 39%

Rasmussen poll: Christie 41%, Corzine 39%

By Editor | October 20th, 2009 - 5:01pm
| More

A new Rasmussen Reports poll has Republican Christopher Christie leading Gov. Jon Corzine by two points, 41%-39%, with 11% for independent Christopher Daggett.  

Rasmussen had Christie ahead 45%-41% in their October 15 poll, with Daggett at 11%.

Rasmussen’s release says that “Christie’s edge in the race has been fading rapidly” – a development unsurprising in light of the New Jersey Democrats’ history of catching up or taking a lead in the polls closer to election day.  

“Adding to the challenge this year, Corzine is expected to heavily outspend Christie during the final days which could be a game-changing factor,” wrote the pollster.

Over the last several weeks, the number of Daggett supporters and undecided voters have increased, while support for both Corzine and Christie has decreased.  And Daggett’s support does appear to be solidifying.  

Corzine’s favorable ratings remain upside down, at 41% favorable to 57% unfavorable, while Christie is at 47% favorable to 47% unfavorable (38% of respondents have a “very unfavorable” view of Corzine, while 27% feel that strongly about Christie).  Daggett is seen favorably by 44% and unfavorably by 32%, while 25% were not sure.   

Corzine’s approval ratings are virtually the same as his favorable ratings, with 41% of respondents approving and 58% disapproving.  

The pollster found that 62% of respondents who initially expressed support for Daggett said they’d stick with them, while 24% said they would end up voting for Christie and 14% said they would vote for Corzine.

When asked which candidate they trusted more on taxes, 39% picked Christie, 28% picked Corzine and 16% picked Daggett.  Fourty-two percent trusted Christie more on cutting government spending, compared to 23% for Corzine and 16% for Daggett.  Christie was also seen by 42% as the most likely to crack down on government corruption, compared to 26% for Corzine and 17% for Daggett.

All in all, the race is a complete toss-up, Rasmussen found.  

“At this point, anybody who says with confidence how this race will turn out is either deluding themselves or attempting to delude someone else. The Democrats clearly have an edge in New Jersey when it comes to turnout, but the wavering Daggett supporters and undecided voters are more likely to head in the Republican direction than to the Democratic incumbent,” wrote the pollster.  

Rasmussen surveyed 750 likely voters on October 19.  The automated poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4%.  

The problem

The lack of GOP machinery outside Ocean and the NW. There is no grinder to turnout Republicans and conservative Demopendents in Middlesex, Passaic and Bergen. If the RNC and dedicated local volunteers can overcome this, we can pull this off.

Lonegan voters Killing Christie

Christie should never have ignored and taken for granted the 140,000 Lonegan voters.

His campaigns arrogant answer of "who else you going to vote for"has now created a dire situation.

His refusal to campaign with Lonegan or include Lonegan people in his campaign has genuinely upset conservative Lonegan backers who don't like being told to "sit down,shut up,and just vote Republican".

Lonegan voters have taken up the Daggett mantra of "its never bad to vote for the right person".

Christie has commited the mortal sin of politics. NEVER TAKE VOTERS SUPPORT FOR GRANTED.

Helping Christie

I am helping Christie here in Bergen County. We can pull this off. The state cant take anymore bills/taxes put on the people who work to float NJ welfare state...its got to stop.

LOONYGAN?

He lost remember back in June. Lonegan is only out for Lonegan. Check is home town elec reports. He never donated a dime to his own party in his own town.
Lonegan future is toast in Bergen

Republican Establishment arrogance

All of a sudden Christie is telling everyone that a vote for Daggett is a wasted vote.

He said the same about Lonegan.

Over 140,000 Republicans came out for Lonegan and voted their convictions.

The Republican establishment laughed.

Now those 140,000, who have been told to sit down,shutup,and vote straight Republican are answering with their feet.

When the arrogant and condescending Christie loses by 30,000 votes I bet he wished that he had not taken the Lonegan votes for granted.

The smug Republican establishment took Lonegan voters for granted.

They will lose the election because of their arrogance.

firstamend

You must be a Democrat stirring the shinola. Christie and Lonegan have met multiple times...Lonegan supporters have filled the various Headquarters around the state and donated money.

Your posts and are filled with lies and misinformation....Christie will win by 2%. Deal with it...

Christie will not win

Christie is way to corrupt for the majority of voters.

The only people who will vote for him are those blinded by their loyalty to the GOP and news flash... This is a blue state.

How can you ignore the constant drip of corruption scandals about christie. Every day something new.

"When the arrogant and

"When the arrogant and condescending Christie loses by 30,000 votes I bet he wished that he had not taken the Lonegan votes for granted."

And if Christie went after 30,000 conservative voters by embracing Losegan's reactionary agenda he would have lost 60,000 moderate Republican and independent voters to Daggett.

Unlike conservatives, who can do nothing but feel disrespected, sit home on election day and cry in their kool-aid, moderates have multiple choices in this election. If they perceive Christie as too conservative they can vote for Daggett or even Corzine.

I notice Daggett's number is stagnant at 11%. If he starts to move up it will likely hurt Christie and swing this election to Corzine.

http://christiegonewild.blogspot.com/

Finally !

I am so happy to see a establishment republican finally admit that the Christie game plan was to ignore Lonegan voters.

The only problem is that your numbers are wrong. Christie will lose 140,000 votes not 30,000.

Looks like another loss for the establishment Republicans.

Some people never learn............

Wake-Up Call

Morning News Digest: February 9, 2010

Garden State Equality fires new broadside at Dems Smarting over the state Senate's refusal to pass marriage equality and disillusioned at the moment with the Democratic Party majority, Garden State Equality’s 85-member Board of Directors unanimously decided against giving financial contributions to political parties and their affiliated committees. ...

Wally Edge

As the new administration looks to reorganize the embattled Passaic Valley Sewerage Authority (PVSA), watch for at least two part-time $53,420-a-year lawyers to be on the termination short list: James Piro, a former Essex County GOP Chairman and...
The brother of U.S. Rep. Frank Pallone has announced his candidacy for the Long Branch City Council.  John Pallone, who served as a Councilman from 1990 to 1994, said today that he would run with David Brown, the former Roselle Business...
A handwritten note left behind during a Senate Budget and Appropriations Committee meeting indicates that Senate Majority Leader Barbara Buono (D-Metuchen) would support a plan to require all current public employees to contribute at least 1.5% of...
As New Jersey braces for another snowstorm, noteworthy is Hamilton Mayor John Bencivengo’s website, where residents can use “Snow Plow Sal” to monitor the movements of snow plows to determine when their street will be plowed.  Hamilton also has...
Just before leaving the Senate Presidency, Richard Codey (D-Roseland) appointed Orange Mayor Eldridge Hawkins to the Congressional Redistricting Commission.  Now his successor, Stephen Sweeney (D-West Deptford) is considering making his own...

Contributors

Everybody needs to start a new job with a list of priorities and Chris Christie is no exception. There might be a thousand things that need to get done... more »
A new Governor and Legislature offer the perfect opportunity to re-think the Trenton status quo and for experienced observers and practitioners to offer their best ideas on improving the... more »
 I grew up in a neighborhood in Newark, New Jersey where gambling was part of every day life.  Many of my relatives gambled.  The guys gambled on games, and... more »
Due to a highly inappropriate breach of etiquette by President Barack Obama in his State of the Union Address, the recent U.S. Supreme Court decision in the Citizens United... more »
When life is bad---natural disasters, families losing homes or jobs, an attack on our country, health crises--people come together and do things that are inspiringly good.  After the... more »
Our new Governor suffers from no lack of advice.  Much of it, contained in the transition reports, deserves prompt attention.  Obviously, economic prosperity benefits everyone, and – as... more »
The agenda has been ambitious.Jobs.  Homeland security.  Iraq.  Afghanistan.  Healthcare.  Energy.  Banking.   Taken together, the Obama Presidency has all the makings of a compelling story -- action, adventure, emotion,... more »
The new regime pushes the only conservative off the Budget Committee.   This is a direct result of pressure from a certain Republican County Chairperson who was hired by Garden... more »
Now that  the dust has finally settled after the grueling campaign for governor, there are a number of lessons that we can draw from this election. First and... more »
A  few years ago, my brother Paul gave me a birthday present of Tim Russert’s book, The Wisdom of Our Fathers. Great book. Read it cover to cover. Or skim... more »
New Jersey's spending and borrowing spree over the past three decades is coming home to roost.  State debt has increased 700% under both Republican and Democratic administrations, and spending... more »
On January 11th New Jersey’s 213th Legislature ended its session, followed the next day by the commencement of the 214th Legislature, with newly elected officials being sworn into office,... more »
On January 6, 2010, several newspapers published articles with titles like “no more aid for struggling cities”, “Christie will cut state aid” and the like; furthermore, in the body... more »
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, you target teachers. That’s not a positive note to start your tenure. You forget that the Teachers’ Union makes decisions on its own, such... more »