
Republican Christopher Christie has a ten point lead in the race for Governor against Democratic incumbent Jon Corzine, whose approvals have reached the worst in his governorship, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released early this morning.
Christie, the former U.S. Attorney, leads Corzine 50%-40% among likely voters.
Corzine has an upside-down approval rating of 36%-56%. He was at 38%-53% last month. 55% of voters say he does not deserve to be re-elected, while 37% say he does.
“Don’t count Gov. Jon Corzine out just because he trails by 10 points less than five months before Election Day,” said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “But he certainly has his work cut out for him. Most New Jersey voters say he does not deserve re-election; that things have gotten worse since he became Governor and that personally he is cold and businesslike, not warm and friendly.”
Christie leads 56%-32% among independents voters, and is wining 19% of the Democratic vote, according to the survey. He beats Corzine among men (55%-38%) and narrowly among women (46%-43%). After a tough primary, Christie is getting 88% of the Republican vote.
“The numbers on which Corzine must focus are the 19 percent of Democrats who are voting for Chris Christie, Christie’s 24-point edge among independents, and the 44 percent who say the Governor is not honest and trustworthy – a high number for a New Jersey politician who has never faced any serious corruption charge,” Richards explained. “Still the biggest thing Corzine needs is a little improvement of the economy – a factor over which he has almost no control.”
Christie has favorables of 36%-15%, but nearly half the voters (46%) don't know enough about him to form an opinion. Corzine's favorables are upside-down, 35%-53%, including favorables of 26%-61% among independents.
Looking at Christie’s characteristics, voters say:
48%-17% that he has strong leadership qualities;
42%-20% that he is honest and trustworthy;
44%-23% that he cares about their needs and problems;
33%-25% that he is warm and friendly, not cold and businesslike.
Looking at Corzine’s characteristics, voters say:
55%-39% that he has strong leadership qualities;
42%-44% that he is honest and trustworthy.
43%-49% that he cares about their needs and problems;
52%-29% that he is cold and businesslike, not warn and friendly
And by a 50%-44% margin, voters casy that because of his wealth, Corzine is unable to understand average New Jersey residents.
Garden State Equality fires new broadside at Dems Smarting over the state Senate's refusal to pass marriage equality and disillusioned at the moment with the Democratic Party majority, Garden State Equality’s 85-member Board of Directors unanimously decided against giving financial contributions to political parties and their affiliated committees. ...
“We will work harder and smarter to protect consumers, to preserve civil rights, to effectively regulate the alcoholic beverage industry, to ensure that the integrity of New Jersey’s casino gaming industry continues, to keep drives, passengers and pedestrians safe on our streets, to assist victims of crimes, and to remember always the importance of juvenile justice on issues affecting the state." -- Attorney General-designate Paula Dow, at her Senate confirmation hearing.
- PolitickerNJ.com, 02/08/10Press releases are submitted by PolitickerNJ users, not by staff. They do not represent the viewpoint of PolitickerNJ.com.
Again...
...very promising numbers, but it's only June. I know Chris Christie has a lot of motivated, hard working people in his corner who will fight tooth and nail to keep momentum on our side. To everybody at headquarters and behind the scenes, keep up the good work, you're doing great!:-)
Another telling number is the 88% Christie draws from Republicans which is about average for this point in the race despite the vain and empty sabre rattling from the Lonegan blowhards.
Guess they're feeling pretty stupid right about now.
Steve Lonegan:
Can’t
Win
Anything
Too early
CC got a lot of press. I bet I could pick a random voter off the street who could not even name who is running for Governor. Let's way to see what happens when people start paying attention and Corzine starts spending money.
nj_politics_2008
You are correct that it is way too early. But, don't fool yourself. The DGA spent almost 2 million in the last 3 weeks of the primary bad mouthing Christie. Lonegan's 527 spent 500,000 in negative ads. The shots been fired, so far the public hasn't bought into the distortions. Hopefully, they don't let Corzine buy another election. We'll see....
Dino
Yet another Christieite who can't resist one more act of venality toward the Lonegan supporters. I think this poll is great news for Corzine. He has not yet begun to spend and is only down by 10. Obviously, a lot of people are not as fed up with him as we are being led to believe.
Clay F. Richards / Dino
Wow,is this polldirector rooting for Corzine or what?
"Don’t count Gov. Jon Corzine out just because he trails by 10 points less than five months before Election Day,” said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
What about Christie exapnding his lead?????
Richards explained. “Still the biggest thing Corzine needs is a little improvement of the economy – a factor over which he has almost no control.”
What??? Is he for real???
As for Dino, my sources tell me the two former GOP rivals are getting together this week, so that ends that sqabble.
So either grow up and knock off the stupid rhetoric, or go vote democratic.
We want a Republican victory this year and we want everyone on board.
Chris Christie is smart enough to see that, ARE YOU???
Dino
The only thing worse than a sore loser is a sore winner. Lonegan's been great to Christie since election night, absolutely great. He's already done more in one week to unite the party than Schundler's RINO opponents did from the primary through the general 8 years ago.
"We are spending more than we have ever spent before and it does not work!"
- FDR's Treasure Secretary, Henry Morgenthau, in 1939, on 8 years of New Deal spending as an attempt to end the Great Depression.
Joe
Agreed...although I'm not sure there is the need for the memo and his reminder to Christie that he stick to his values.
If the Lonegan supporters are the whacko's...then why
are all of the Christie people continuing the name calling and alienation tactics which will only serve to further divide the party? To think that Christie will win against Corzine without the Lonegan supporters is not only short-sighted, it is flat out wrong. New Jersey residents in general are tired of the "BS" from politicians of both parties, all the way around. The fact that anyone from any party would call people who want low taxes. less government and less regulation, whacko's, is akin to the Director of Homeland Security suggesting these same people should be watched for extremism...If you really want Christie to win then stop with the alienation of those he'll need to do just that. Let me repeat, Chris Christie cannot win without Lonegan's people.
The Chris Christie
The Chris Christie supporters are pulling out all the stops to continue to attack the party's consersative base. They have even pulled Bob Grant out of retirement and he is on the radio down here every few days attacking Lonegan supporters. One local radio host (Harry Hurley, who is in the pocket of the regular Republicans as well as the Atlantic City Democrats) has actually been cursing at Lonegan supporters on the air.
The theory is now that if Christie loses the plan is to blame the Lonegan supporters.
I have never seen a hard working Christie supporter willing to fight tooth and nail. Most of his supporters don't actually believe anything he says, they just have the theory he can beat Corzine. Most Christie supports who know what is going on expect some kind of job or other favor. they are generally lazy, arrogant, country club Republicans ... you know, the ones that put Obama in power.
sj?
Who are you talking about? The Christie campaign and supporters( except for 2-3 who post here) have been gracious and reached out. Your post is flanning the flames as well. relax...enjoy the fact that a Republican is leading in a state wide for the first time since 1997. Then dig in and prepare for the fight of our lives. Corzine will spend tens of millions trying to get people to forget how awful he has been. Forget the petty B.S. that goes on on sites like this---that only a few insiders read. And SJ--just look at the posts from lonegan supporter Russ---he is exhibit A of the stupidity that people post. He has been a horses ass through this entire campaign---and hasn't skipped a beat since primary night.
The Christie campaign knows that they need everyone in the party to win---
Joe, keep in mind...
using term "RINO" is the equivalent of me calling you a "Nut Job."
you'd be wise to drop the term.
Goodbye Russ
Please make your way to the exit towards the PA turnpike as you promised. Or are you really full of bs like I think you are?
I'm a Lonegan
supporter who will be voting for Christie and volunteering my time. Yes I have certain reservations about him, but I cannot, my parents cannot, and New Jersey cannot afford four more years of Jon Corzine and his Democratic allies controlling the state.
Dino What gives ?
You want Christie to win. ? We want Christie to win. Keep up the Lonegan bashing and these poll numbers will go down. Dino the primary is over and I hope Christie supporters will tell you to knock it off, the Party needs unity now.
gorednj and the oc are tough
gorednj and the oc are tough guys as long as they don't give their identity. They are too embarassed to say who they are because of all the nonsense posts they made here. They also will not disclose any credentials but like to call other stupid and a variety of other terms. they also cannot refute any the specific facts posted here, they just have platitudes and slogans.
Rutgers University gave me an MS in Physics and a BS in both physics and computer science. I also own an Internet company and I am being soaked with all these taxes to pay for all these policial hacks.
As I see it, NJ is dommed either way. Either Corzine gets and things stay the same or Christie gets in and things stay the same. Only if Christie gets in the Regular Republicans will think they should continue doing business as they did in this past election. If that happens there is no hope for any kind of legitimacy in the Republican party.
In any case I expect to move to another state when I can in a couple years. Many people will be doing the same things. How many, I don't know. But it is going to be many high earners leaving and the Christie supports, political pundits on here, and the Democrats don't want to address that (or they just dismiss it). However, voting with your feet is a political process whether people on here want to admit it or not.
As for all the hatred being spewed by the Christie camp just listen to WIBG.com between 7 and 11 AM. Christie and Bob Grant are on there every couple days. They claim to be Christian station but they attack anyone who doesn't pay off Hurley and curse at Lonegan supporters.
Now Hurley has a lawyer sponsoring the show that is representing some of the people involved in the Atlantic City messenger ballots. According to Hurley, the State Police are trying to deny voting rights to Atlantic City residents. They claim Corzine is doing it so he will have a crime fighting records to go up against Christie.
If the Republicans would just put an honest candidate on the ballot I would vote for him/her even if I did not agree with many positions. In the case of Christie I simply don't believe anything he says and I will not vote for any candidate like anymore that no matter what party.
If the CC people don't
get busy by July 5th, I have a bunch of model kits to put together. Anybody have plans to motorize a static E. German diesel train engine?
Chris Christie will never be Governor of the state of New Jersey
based on history, a fact the liberals in the Republican party cannot break.
Lonegan supporters should in no way waste their time and energies on a futile effort. This has nothing to do with poltics or polcies, it is a simple fact that Christie will join the long line of hand of handpicked candidates in November.
If when in the voting both you want to vote for Christie that is fine. But there are multiple Assembly races that the machine has either publically abandoned (D3) or simply refuses to even acknowledge (D25 and D15). These are the candidates, plus local races if the candidate actually meets the standards of what a conservative is.
After November there will be maybe 25-26 Republican assembly members left. If the winners are conservatives we can maybe change the leadership in the assembly from the failures that are there now. Especially when some of the primary machine winners lose to Democrats in the fall, which many of them will.
The above poll shows Christie LOST 5 points since the last one, he fell from 53 to 50 and Corzine went from 38 to 40. This will continue to happen until Corzine takes the lead for good.
John Corzine has been re elected Governor through 2013, any other discussions about his campaign or reaching out are moot. he has no chance of winning.
Poor Russ
Russ - you are crying more than my one year old daughter. Good Lord be a man and live up to what you say - move to another state. There are people on here who know who I am. And how am I to believe you that you have earned anything? I am sure there are plenty of Russes in NJ. Keep crying but do us a favor and do it while you are packing and shipping you and your company to another state.
formaja
If the the discussion is moot, then do us a favor and stop posting. You are the second biggest whiner on this board next to russ.
form and russ
Bye Bye. Russ my credentials are this----I was born and raised in NJ. Graduated Cum Laude and have been involved in business at the highest level. I have more money than I ever dreamed and have given more to charity then you will ever earn combined. So cut the qualifications B.S.... Your BS degree from Rutgers impresses me very little. In life, its how you deal with the people, change with the times, etc...you have shown the ability to be a stalking, losing unlikeable person. I notice election night Lonegan publicly thanked Seth grossman---not Russ from Ocean City--serial stalker and phone caller. LOL what a loser. Your endless whining, distorting and total bullshit impresses me even less.
Form---no one cared about what you had to say during the primary when you had a dog in the hunt. Now..after losing and still spewing venom we care even less. The bulk of the Lonegan supporters, and even Steve himself have been great. MANY have signed up to help at Headquarters and I would expect an active Steve to campaign hard for Christie.
This last comment is directed at FORMAJA & RUSS---No other Lonegan supporters---you are total ZEROS...good riddance if you left the state.
Graduated from where, with
Graduated from where, with what major? What charities did you give to and how much? What is your name and where do you live? Can anyone vouch for your claims?
You cannot seem to challange any of the specifics I posted so it looks like you are a complete phony all the way around.
I figure you are either Chris Christie, Todd Christie, one of the illegal aliens Loneangan wouldn't hire, or someone whose feelings got hurt back in Bogota.
"Another telling number is
"Another telling number is the 88% Christie draws from Republicans which is about average for this point in the race despite the vain and empty sabre rattling from the Lonegan blowhards."
The point here is the bunker mentality of a few diehard Loneganistas refusing to acknowledge defeat and swear allegiance to the victors, who precariously cling to their pathetic delusion that the 140,000 Republicans who voted for Lonegan will not vote for Christie. I've made the point in other posts responding to similar claims that the 900,000 registered Republican voters who did not vote for Lonegan will rally around and support Chris Christie. The above-referenced poll proves me correct. I also predict that, win or lose, Chris Christie will get a higher percentage of Republican votes in November than any GOP candidate since Christie Whitman in 1993.
"gorednj and the oc are tough guys as long as they don't give their identity. They are too embarassed to say who they are because of all the nonsense posts they made here. They also will not disclose any credentials but like to call other stupid and a variety of other terms. they also cannot refute any the specific facts posted here, they just have platitudes and slogans."
This guy has a real compulsive/obsessive fetish about identities and credentials. I wonder why?
"you have shown the ability to be a stalking, losing unlikeable person. I notice election night Lonegan publicly thanked Seth grossman---not Russ from Ocean City--serial stalker and phone caller. LOL what a loser. Your endless whining, distorting and total bullshit impresses me even less."
Ahh. That explains it.
Russ is now a liar
Lonegan DID hire illegal aliens. he sought them out. Nice attempt at rewriting history. Are you sure you did not major in creative writing? Seems more fitting. And how are we to know YOU are telling the truth. I am Mickey Mantle. Who are you? When are going to keep your word and move out the state? Or was that another lie?
the oc CliffordCase gorednj
the oc CliffordCase gorednj
You must be the same people because none of them can answer any specifics or say who they are. They must all be Chris Christie Whitman.
"Graduated from where, with
"Graduated from where, with what major? What charities did you give to and how much? What is your name and where do you live? Can anyone vouch for your claims?"
Who cares??? Except for one socially dysfunctional, serial stalking, kool-aid drinking lunatic.
If I was planning to move myself and my business to another state I wouldn't be wasting my time obsessing about the identities and credentials of posters on this website. But I suspect this person, like the Japanese soldiers who keep turning up in the Phillippines fifty years after the war ended, will still be around for the next GOP primary free-for-all no-holds-barred smackdown between RINOS and wingnuts.
In the meantime he'll be calling up talk radio to assure the listeners he's still around, posting idiotic comments on this and other websites, and continue stalking Chris Christie whenever he comes around to the South Jersey shore.
Many people care about
Many people care about endorsements and credentials in politcs. John Hancock is another example of people who are not scared to say who they are.
Why is Chris Christie pulling out Bob Grant and Harry Hurley to keep attacking Lonegan supporters if they have mostly joined Christie?
How come noboy can answer the specifics about the Atlantic County Republicans involvement in the Atlantic City messenger ballot scandal?
How come the Christie supporters can never anser specifics and just make personal insults? Are they too stupid to address any facts?
"CliffordCase is ... Veteran
"CliffordCase is ... Veteran lobbyist Alan Marcus"
I find this hard to believe that anyone would hire him for anything. The person posting here could not hold a legitimate paying job, I suspect it is some teenager.
as usual, point is missed
or maybe missed on purpose, sigh!
Let me try one more time here. I would LOVE to be wrong, I DO NOT want John Corzine to be Governor of NJ past this year. And if by some miracle you beat history and win I will be more then happy to eat some crow. And if Chirtsie actually governs as a conservative I will eat lots of crow, this would make myself and others VERY happy, back flip down the hall kind of happy.
OC, GOREDNJ and the rest of you do not understand my point it appears. Many people worked for Steve Lonegan because the people who are telling us that Chris Christie is the man are ALWAYS wrong (since 1993). If Lonegan had not run my guess is Rcik Merkt would have done better. Would he have done as well as Lonegan, no way because he lacked name recognition. But many would have gone to him simply because he was not the handpicked person. We like Steve Lonegan's polcies and beleived he is the better candidate, but one the reasons we believed that is because many of you other insiders did not.
You cannot argue the factual list that I always type out. YES Lonegan has lost many elections as well, but he has always had to bang his head against the machine wall. This is as we have seen. virtually impossible to achieve. He has not had the chance to get his ideas out there in a general election because he is always stoppsed, regardless of the office, by people inside becasue they do not like him personally.
I have no idea whether I have liked or disliked any of the other state wide candidates personally (other then Tom Kean Jr who I do like) but up until last year I always did what I was told. But the fact remains that this was not a real primary. The establisment lined up behind who some higher ups said this was going to be the candidate this time. Steve Lonegan was never given a chance to compete for these votes, the fix was in from the beginning. And anyone who strayed from this orthodoxy was bullied into cooperation. And you all know it.
Lonegan did the absolute best he could with what was available considering what he was up against. It is now up to others to determine what happens.
As I said, if Christie wins I will be very happy. I so not believe he is a conservative but if he wins he will have the chnace to prove me wrong, which I will ne more then happy to be. My arguement has not been for some time now about policy or ideas. It has been very simply that many of us simply do not trust the leadership anymore to decide what is best. This is what the Lonegan campaign was all about in many cases. It was why there were two actual lines this time around. You think all of those people who ran for office on our line did so for no reason?! You think people put themselves out there for abuse and ridicule from their own side because they liked it?! Or because they really do want to win and make things better?!
If people like OC and GOREDNJ and the like want to continue to attack the motives of many of us who did and have done the work in the past, that is their right. But do no get all sanctimonious on us when we go back at you.
The point is not missed ...
The point is not missed ... the Chritie supporters are doing anything they can to divert attention from the real problems. That way they can keep milking the system. Most of the $150K people with state jobs and contracts would make $50K in the real world.
Pathetic
The fact that you are all still fighting over primary nonsense is sad and pathetic. Move on and up.
"As I said, if Christie wins
"As I said, if Christie wins I will be very happy."
I gather you will vote for Christie, hope for the best and expect the worst.
"He has not had the chance to get his ideas out there in a general election because he is always stoppsed, regardless of the office, by people inside becasue they do not like him personally."
Anybody who thinks independents and democrats would be more receptive to Lonegan's caveman conservatism and bourbonesque tax policies than GOP primary voters is putting something in their kool-aid. Even Paul Mulshine, Lonegan's water carrier in the mainstream media, conceded that the only voting bloc receptive to Lonegan's plan would be NJ primary voters, and they voted against it.
I can't imagine how any rational person can possibly believe that Lonegan could win among independents and democrats when he can't even get passed GOP primary voters who are generally better educated, have higher incomes, and are politically more sophisticated than the other groups.
And to those who keep bringing up Reagan as someone who can carry New Jersey I'll simply state that Steve Lonegan is no Ronald Reagan, never has been and never will be.
I tend to agree with you here...
posted by PC517
Wow,is this polldirector rooting for Corzine or what?
"Don’t count Gov. Jon Corzine out just because he trails by 10 points less than five months before Election Day,” said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
What about Christie expanding his lead?????
Richards explained. “Still the biggest thing Corzine needs is a little improvement of the economy – a factor over which he has almost no control.”
What??? Is he for real???
----------------------------------------------------
Obviously the polling director wasn't pleased with the data this poll revealed. lol
He is clearly misrepresenting the polling results. For instance, when he says that “The numbers on which Corzine must focus are the 19 percent of Democrats who are voting for Chris Christie and Christie’s 24-point edge among independents...".
Christie went up amongst ALL groups: Republicans, Democrats and Independents. To say that all Corzine has to do is win back those 19% of the Democrats supporting Christie is--easier said then done! Consider the fact that Christie was getting 13% of registered Democrats and 52% of Independents in their previous poll and even then, he had a 7pt lead.
The fact is that it's not simply a matter of isolating whose a Democrat, and Independent and a Republican--Christie improved on his numbers across the board. He's beating Corzine amongst men and women. He made significant inroads with black voters and urban voters. In 2005, Corzine was ahead amongst voters who thought he was honest by a margin of 50-26. Now he's losing in that area by 42-44. Likewise, in 2005 he was ahead amongst voters who were asked if Corzine "cares about the needs and problems of people like you" by a margin of 49-35. Now he's losing that group by a margin of 43-49.
Christie's primary victory was extremely broad. There was a side-by-side comparison of the primary between Schundler/ Franks from 2001 on RealClearPolitics showing how Schundler dominated north jersey but had only soft support down south. Flash forward to 2009, where Christie carried the majority of districts that went to Bob Franks and the majority of districts that Bret Schundler won. That's significant because it indicates that he has strong supports across the state.
If I was Jon Corzine, I'd worry less about winning back registered Democrats and worry more about the fact that I'm losing white voters by 24%, I'm losing amongst women voters and Chris Christie is winning 18% of the black vote.
I'm so glad all you so
I'm so glad all you so called mature and well versed "adults" are acting like a bunch of 3rd graders arguing over a lunch trade. Let's all save the bickering and stick measuring for somewhere else, the primary is over and you've gone from discussion to whining. I suggest you all read a book called, "ALL I REALLY NEED TO KNOW I LEARNED IN KINDERGARTEN" by Robert Fulghum.
For those that have act civilized I thank you, to those who haven't you make yourselves and the parties' you represent look silly and foolish. Final point is you have taken something of formal debate and discussion to seek personal agendas. It's evident that it's your messes my generation will have to clean up and we thank you for it.
In terms of the of the poll its early and the real money hasn't been spent yet, the appearances haven't been made and the budget isn't approved. There's a ways to go but its evident that New Jerseyans aren't happy with Jon Corzine.
http://lwschoolhouse.blogspot.com/
The polls don't measure the
The polls don't measure the number of people leaving NJ. Even a report paid for by Corzine admits high earners are leaving at a high rate. there is no way to measure how many people decide not to come here in the first place:
"… among those with very high non-labor earnings (such as capital gains or interest income), there is a large net out‐migration: for every 100 who leave, only about 45 move into the state."
Russ and formaja
Please - leave the state already as promised while we move on to the general. No one knows who you are or cares. So leave already. You will not be missed.
Exodus 2009
"The polls don't measure the number of people leaving NJ."
And lo, Pharoah said unto RussOCNJ:
"Please - leave the state already as promised while we move on to the general. No one knows who you are or cares. So leave already. You will not be missed."
And so RussOCNJ and his followers packed up their boxes of kool-aid and computers, their bank accounts and stock portfolios, their chests of treasure and other belongings, and went to cross the river into the promised land of low taxes, economic shangri-la, and that shiny city on a hill.
But lo, the river was so vast and so deep they dare not cross. And the state tax collectors were coming up behind them with warrants and tax liens to take away their possessions. And so RussOCNJ spake unto his followers, "Fear not for our Lord Ronaldus Magnus Reagan is with us and will save us from Pharoah's tax collectors."
Then RussOCNJ stretched out his hands and parted the waters that he and his followers may cross. And then they did cross unto the Promised Land. And what, pray tell, did they find? Ed Rendell, Bob Casey and Arlen Specter with letters and levys of taxation including taxes on personal property, wages, real estate, income, food and clothing, gasoline, and a vast assortment of fees, assessments, and other taxes that would make even Pharoah blush.
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As I see it, NJ is dommed
As I see it, NJ is dommed either way. Either Corzine gets and things stay the same or Christie gets in and things stay the same. Only if Christie gets in the Regular Republicans will think they should continue doing business as they did in this past election. If that happens there is no hope for any kind of legitimacy in the Republican party.
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Republican Christopher Christie has a ten point lead in the race for Governor against Democratic incumbent Jon Corzine, whose approvals have reached the worst in his governorship, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released early this morning.
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