November 19, 2008 - 6:09am
News

Quinnipiac: Corzine 42%, Christie 36%

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U.S. Attorney Christopher Christie is within six points of incumbent Jon Corzine in a Quinnipiac University poll of the 2009 race for Governor of New Jersey

Democratic incumbent Jon Corzine has a narrow six point lead over Republican Christopher Christie in the 2009 race for Governor of New Jersey, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released early this morning.  Corzine leads Christie, who will leave his post as U.S. Attorney on December 1, 42%-36%. 

“The long coattails of Barack Obama have reached down into New Jersey and helped Gov. Jon Corzine's re-election prospects, at least for now,” said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. 

If Christie runs and Corzine does not seek reelection, 31 percent say they would vote for the Republican, while 34 percent would vote for an unnamed Democratic candidate, with 34 percent undecided.

“If Corzine does not run, voters are split three ways among Christie, a generic Democratic candidate and ‘don’t know.’  One problem is that Christie, while having established a seven-year reputation for putting more than 100 corrupt New Jersey politicians out of work and behind bars, is still not well enough known for 70 percent of voters to have an opinion about him,” Richards said.

In a September 17 Quinnipiac survey, Corzine led Christie 42%-40%, a statistical dead heat.

Editor can be reached via email at editor@politicsnj.com.

Comments

I think this shows that


I think this shows that people don't see Christie as the answer to the issue most important to them because he has no credibility on economic issues such as taxes, state spending, growth of government, debt, etc. ...

If Christie can't top Corzine now with all the good press Christie has gotten over the past years, and in light of the current economic situation and state tax/business unfriendly situation, there is no way he can top Corzine after a long campaign with Corzine throwing all his money linking Christie to Bush, talking about the Ashcroft appointment, and all the other mud he will sling. ...

Christie should enjoy the perks of private life and a good lawyer job after he steps down.

11/19/08 6:45 am

Holy cow...


Relax. A guy with a boatload of street cred hasn't even begun to campaign on things like the economy or taxes and you write him off? No one is paying attention to this right now. I wonder what the polls would say if it were Corzine v. anyone else.

11/19/08 7:45 am

I consider myself a


moderate Republican, but I'm thinking of voting for Steve Lonegan this time in the primary if he runs. NJ needs some strong medicine to "reduce" expenses, and I don't see Christie delivering on that issue.

11/19/08 8:12 am

Speaking of money


Maybe during the campaign someone will address all the money that Corzine has thrown around to "buy off" all the ministers in the cities---guaranteeing their support. Maybe someone will bring up how this financial genious hasn't delivered on any of his promises. Or how he hasn't made the difficult decisons in negotiating with the unions. And lets not forget his "born again" attitude towards pay to play, all but guaranteeing his opponent will come up short on fundraising. Corzine--what a guy.

11/19/08 8:17 am

36% against Corzine!


Heck, I could get that and nobody knows who I am.

11/19/08 8:49 am

Kean-Levine 2009


Thats the answer people.

11/19/08 9:01 am

Its now Official


NJ is now a third world state. When 42% of voters most of whom do not pay taxes or own property vote themselves a bigger slice of the cake its over folks. Get your money out of your 401K now before its too late.

11/19/08 9:05 am

is that all ?


Bergen Republican Chris Calabrese would get those numbers without campaigning.
I say Calabrese for Gov.

11/19/08 9:08 am

Scoop


Is Sean or Senior running?

11/19/08 9:41 am

AH hasn't heard


but NOBODY READS NEWSPAPERS ANYMORE!!! The Star Ledger just took buy outs from half its staff AH!
So....Christie's good press has basically gone down a black hole. if you aint on TV you aint nobody baby! Plus Cheney was indicted today for something he's alleged to have done in Houston and Cheny/Bush/Christie will likely be the ticket against whomever runs onthe Dem side. Plus there's about a half million new Obama voters in NJ who everyone needs to court but the Dems have more money for courtin'. And we all know what happens with the boy with the faster, newer, cooler car, he always gets the girl!

11/19/08 9:45 am

starting 2009 early


There are certainly reasons to criticize Corzine (appointing Farber, negotiating union contracts via email with his ex), as there are reasons to praise him (dual officeholding ban, new reform package, budget cuts). That said, I don't see the compelling case for Christie for governor, as this person has no platform, has at the very least used the office of U.S. Attorney for borderline unethical practices (at worst, he's given no-bid contracts to his friends, e.g., Rumsfeld), and has no economic experience whatsoever. Corzine needs to get his act together, stop doing national interviews and focus on N.J. issues, and restore some degree of faith in his gubernatorial duties.

We as voters project our wants and desires of legislators onto particular candidates, and Christie is merely a blank slate right now for some Republicans. Every other election cycle, we seemingly hear of the "Great Republican Hope" who will lead N.J. Republicans out of the wilderness; it was Kean Jr. in 2006, and now it is Christie in 2009. He's already starting off with a 6% deficit, even with the blank slate effect.

11/19/08 10:14 am

What budget cuts?


Spending under Corzine has gone up by three billion dollars, over the already ridiculously inflated McGreevey-Codey budgets. Overall, under Corzine's Democrats, state spending has gone up 54% since 2001 and state aid has been cut to every suburban and rural town. This is why taxes are high in New Jersey.

Christie's problem is that only 3% of voters say corruption is the top issue facing the state, and people just don't think Jon Corzine is corrupt.

On the other hand 45% of voters say that taxes and spending are top issues, and that's Lonegan's baliwick. This isn't even going to be close, especially because Chris "Sonny Liston" Christie isn't even going to get in the ring.

Time to get on the bus.

11/19/08 10:50 am

Corzine v Lonegan


Corzine wins by double digits. People say Lonegan who?

11/19/08 10:54 am

Mountaintop


Do you understand corruption causes financial problems? Or are you sucking on the right-wing kool-aid?

11/19/08 12:02 pm

Reporter477


Although you may make that connection, the majority of voters don't. Also, corruption is a bipartisan issue and has effected both parties so neither can claim the high road and it becomes a tit-for-tat campaign that turns of independents (and even some party faithful), so even to the extent the voters make that connection they don't think there is a difference between who they put in office (and they don't think Corzine is corrupt).

Voters want a candidate who has the experience and credibility on cutting taxes, reducing the size of government, and reigning in government spending and who can focus everything on that issue to show a contrast with Corzine and the Democrats. That is Steve Lonegan.

11/19/08 12:33 pm

Cause of high taxes is not corruption


It's liberal big government.

11/19/08 12:47 pm

Almost but not quite


"Voters want a candidate who has the experience and credibility on cutting taxes, reducing the size of government, and reigning in government spending and who can focus everything on that issue to show a contrast with Corzine"

Palin talked about her experience in small town Wasilla and how she would bring that to the national level, everyone thought it was a joke.

Steve Lonegans experience in a town of 3500 voters is also a joke.

11/19/08 12:49 pm

Reporter477, your comparing...


apples and oranges. Nice try though.

11/19/08 1:44 pm

Two questions: will all the


Two questions: will all the new "Obama voters" turn out for a 2009 state election? I doubt it, personally.

Will Corzine's "Wall Street greed" association hurt him in the campaign?

11/19/08 3:05 pm

2009


If history holds, the turnout will be 50%. The Obama voters were not translated to the US Senate race this year.

11/19/08 11:30 pm

TIME FOR A CHANGE


It's time for a change in NJ. The Democrats have increased the size of government, increased spending, are mired in corruption, have followed anti-business policies, and have done nothing about taxes. It is time for a conservative message to take hold in NJ.

CUT TAXES FOR INDIVIDIALS, REAL ESTATE, AND BUSINESSES, SHRINK GOVERNMENT, CUT GOVERNMENT SPENDING, FOCUS ON THE RULE OF LAW ... and JOBS, JOBS, JOBS.

It should not be hard to draw the comparisons and paint a picture of why conservative principles will help NJ to break away from the harmful policies of the liberal Democrats that are running our state deeper into a hole.

11/22/08 1:56 pm

Way too early for this...


Christie hasn't even announced whether he's running, even though his resignation from the Justice Department does seem to indicate his interest. But it's still November 2008; when neither of the candidates in the poll have announced whether they'll run and the election is a year away, it's too early to conduct a poll that really means anything.

A poll on whether voters approve of Governor Corzine, on the other hand...

11/23/08 5:21 pm