Pindell Report makes final predictions for Election Day

Pindell Report makes final predictions for Election Day

By Editor | November 3rd, 2008 - 3:56pm
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The Pindell Report, Politicker.com's political and campaign forecast, has released its final projections for Election Day. Using polling, historical and demographic trends, tracking campaign visits and spending, The Pindell Report ranks races in terms of their competitiveness and their status as either a toss-up or leaning or likely voting in a particular way.

In New Jersey, The Pindell Report's final breakdown is as follows:

PRESIDENT:

Safe Democratic. New Jersey is not considered in the top 16 of most competitive states.

U.S. SENATE:

Safe Democratic. Incumbent Frank Lautenberg will win by double digits, but still is the 13th most competitive Senate race of the 35 this year.

U.S. HOUSE:

7th Congressional District: Leans Republican. This appeared to be Democratic State Sen. Linda Stender's race to lose, but her need to call in Bill Clinton this weekend shows signs she is rightly worried in this historically Republican district. This race is the 16th most competitive House race in the nation.

3rd Congressional District: Leans Democratic. This is looking like a Democratic pick-up for State Sen. John Adler given the money advantage, the candidate and the year. That said, this is only Leans Democratic. This race is listed as the 18th most competitive House race in the nation.

5th Congressional District: Leans Republican. While it is hard to imagine Scott Garrett actually losing this seat, Democrat Dennis Shulman is finishing very strong in a year that is looking like a major Democratic wave. A Shulman win is possible, but unlikely. This race is listed as the 53rd most competitive House race in the nation.

NATIONAL OUTLOOK:

Nationally, The Pindell Report estimates Barack Obama will become the next president receiving at least 353 electoral votes tomorrow compared to John McCain's 174 electoral votes. The only toss-up state is Missouri. For the U.S. Senate, Pindell predicts that Democrats will pick up either seven or eight seats and will fall short of the 60 seats they need to end a filibuster. The only Senate race viewed as too close to call is in Minnesota. In the House, Democrats are poised to pick up at least 21 seats with 6 seats viewed as toss ups.

PINDELL REPORT'S COMPLETE FORECAST:

U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Governor | Presidential Swing State

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