Obama has 10-point lead in N.J., passes 50%
By EditorBarack Obama has a ten point lead over John McCain in New Jersey, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released earlier this morning. Obama leads 51%-41% among likely voters in the Gardem State.
"New Jersey continues to wear its true blue stripes and appears to be solidly in Sen. Barack Obama's corner heading into the Fall campaign. Like most strong Republican contenders, Sen. John McCain can wish, but it is unlikely that he can swing the tide in New Jersey unless he swings the tide dramatically nationwide," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
Obama, a Democratic U.S. Senator from Illinois, gets the support of 94% of black voters, and has a 15 point lead among women, is ahead among men, narrowly, 48%-45%, and leads among Independents, 45%-42%. McCain leads among white voters (50%-42%).
In New Jersey, Obama has a 57%-31% favorability rating. McCain, a Republican U.S. Senatoir from Arizona, is at 54%-35%,
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Not really that big
considering the registration rate and the Bradley/Wilder effect.
Ineligible
Obama is ineligible to serve as POTUS because of dual citizenship. If he has not renounced his Indonesian citizenship (he may also have Kenyan citizenship), he cannot serve.
He also needs to answer questions about the death of Donald Young.
The birth certificate on his "fight the smears" web site is a documented fraud and he will not release his COLB.
The media darling has not beeen vetted, and when he is, people will be surprised.
Obama has 94% of the black
Obama has 94% of the black vote. Yeah, that's not racism. But if he loses nationally, the media will use racism as an excuse.
It's August.
It's August.
He sucks you guys right in. So consider yourself sucked!- Bill Parcells
Ineligible
PoliticsSJ forgot to post a link to the truth about Obama's birth certificate:
http://pandagon.net/index.php/site/comments/the_true_story_of_blackazoid...
Explains a lot.
Absurd, Republicans, absurd
I've heard some absurd smears before, but PoliticsSJ's one may take the cake. Instead of making pathetic accusations, stick to the issues (which McSame will lose on anyway).
Getting back to the poll results, I don't know one sober Republican who thinks that McCain is going to win N.J. In Rasmussen polling/insider trading, McCain is given as much a chance 10% (McCain) -90% (Obama) of winning N.J. as Obama has of winning Mississippi or Tennessee.
Combine that with new voter registration in the state favoring Democrats 20-1, tepid statewide interest in the Republican ticket, a superior GOTV Democratic operation, and an increased 14 point party identification for Dems in the state, and, well, McCain should write off his chances completely.
its over
he McCain camp packs up by late september. The Conventions will destroy whatever hope McCain thought he had hear...again though McCain used Nj as a headfake...make Obama spend money where he doesnt have to. Frank Lautenberg is over 50% Obama is over 50% Stender and Adler are going to win, possibly Shulman.
IF
If your predictions come true, I predict a 20% icrease in people leaving the State next year.
It will be the biggest growing industry, people who can afford to leave NJ.