Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind poll today shows Gov. Jon Corzine at 43%, Republican Chris Christie at 41% and independent Chris Daggett at 8%.

Corzine’s slight lead over Christie is within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3%.  

Poll Director Peter Woolley said that the 8% of Daggett supporters volunteered his name, although the interviewers did ID Daggett before they asked the head-to-head matchup question.

“Voters were reminded of his name before they were asked,” said Woolley.

The pollster dropped the head-to-head question that included Daggett's name.  

The results include those from the last FDU poll, which was released Friday, and include four additional days.  On Friday, the poll showed Corzine with a statistically insignificant one point lead over Chrisite, and Daggett at 6% from voters volunteering his name (when Daggett’s name was mentioned, he got 14% of the vote and Christie led Corzine by a statistically insignificant 2% -- 41% to 39%).  

Independent Chris Daggett, left, and his running mate, Frank Esposito

MONTCLAIR - Campaigning today in Montclair, independent gubernatorial candidate Chris Daggett appealed to movement conservatives to vote for him despite Steve Lonegan's amplified endorsement of GOP nominee Chrs Christie.

"I think the people who backed Steve Lonegan in the past aren't at all interested in supporting Chris Christie,' Daggett told PolitickerNJ.com. "I've seen it on the campaign trail. They know Chris Christie does not represent what they feel is in the best interest of this state in the sense of taking on the tax system and being able to reduce taxes as I've proposed to do.

"I've seen they're more interested in seeing somebody who's interested in stepping up to address the issues and give some commonsensical answers, not some big promise that he's going to cut taxes across the board and then give you no plan whatsoever to do it," Daggett added.

Sagging poll numbers, and the drumbeat on 101.5 FM, however, suggests that Republicans have penetrated with the message that a vote for Daggett is a vote for incumbent Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine.

A WABC-TV/SurveyUSA poll shows Republican Christopher Christie leading Gov. Jon Corzine by three percentage points, 45%-42%, with independent Christopher Daggett at 10%. 

Given the dates the poll was conducted, SurveyUSA said the results should be “interpreted cautiously.”

“On 2 of the 3 nights, much of NJ was home watching local teams play in the World Series. And: 1 of the 3 nights was Halloween, when families with children are home in uniquely large numbers. As such, results of this survey should be interpreted cautiously: a narrow Corzine victory is not inconsistent with the data, but a narrow Christie win is more consistent with the data,” wrote the pollster.

The poll of 528 likely voters was conducted October 30-November 1 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.1%.

A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research poll of 606 likely voters conducted for Democratic strategist James Carville's Democracy Corps shows Cozine leading Christie 41% to 37%, with independent Christopher Daggett getting 15%.  

WEST ORANGE - Senate President Richard Codey (D-Roseland) did a robocall over the weekend for Gov. Jon Corzine, targeting suburban Essex County voters and reminding them about the governor's cap on property taxes, Codey told PolitickerNJ.com.

"Democrats will vote in the suburbs for Jon Corzine," said Codey. "The critical question will be whether he holds independent women, who flocked to him after the campaign hit the mammogram issue. One thing I find interesting is that (independent candidate Chris) Daggett has dropped out of the sky."

A Monmouth University/Gannett poll released this afternoon shows Gov. Jon Corzine with a two point lead over Republican Chris Christie – 43% to 41% -- which is within the poll’s margin of error.  Independent Christopher Daggett polls at 8%.

That’s a statistically insignificant change from a Monmouth poll release Sunday that showed Christie leading Corzine by 43% to 42%.

With Election Day looming, the race remains too close to call.  

“This race is still as close as it can be.  It’s possible that President Obama’s visit boosted the governor’s chances.  But it is also likely that some anti-Corzine voters are still unsure of casting their lot with Christie,” said Monmouth University Polling Institute Director Patrick Murray..  If the undecided vote breaks largely for the Republican, this race could be a squeaker.’

Corzine’s approval rating is mired in the same upside-down territory it has been in through most of the campaign, with 36% of respondents approving of his job performance and 54% disapproving.  But his personal favorability rating has improved, with 40% of voters seeing him favorably compared to 44% who view him unfavorable – narrowed from a 10 point upside-down gap in Monmouth’s poll from last week.

With one day left in the campaign, it is clear that Chris Christie has major momentum.  The election outcome will be determined by turnout.  In this regard, the key question will be:  How effective is each candidate’s GOTV (Get-Out-the-Vote)?

Lonegan ally Assemblyman Michael Doherty (R-Washington Twp.) on the stump for Christie at a Flemington rally also attended by Lonegan.

Putting the punctuation mark on his weekend of stumping for GOP candidate Chris Christie, movement conservative leader Steve Lonegan issued an email blast to his supporters this morning citing a quote from President Barack Obama's rallies for incumbent Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine.

"He said that Corzine was 'one of the best partners I have in the White House...we work together.  We know our work is far from over.'

"That's right," Lonegan added. "The radical national agenda of Barack Obama is hoping to get a boost from the election for Governor of New Jersey. You know what that means. Last week, the most left-wing Speaker in the history of Congress unpacked her plan to take over health care - and with it 18% of the American economy. Coupled with the Obama 'cap & tax' scheme, both these bills will destroy American competitiveness, drive-up costs, and amount to the largest collective tax increase ever."

For Immediate Release:Contact: Mario Drodz(973)-555-5555

Caputo Makes His Case For Another Term

Higher Taxes and More Politicos on the Take Are the Right Direction for New Jersey

Belleville-Assemblyman, Freeholder and Former Educational Bureaucrat Ralph Caputo made his case for another term in Trenton at his legislative office at the Sunrise Bagel Shop on Joralemon Street in his hometown where the voters unjustly rejected his Board of Education and Council candidates.

If Gov. Jon Corzine wins re-election, look for former reality TV star Dr. Randal Pinkett to be on the short list of candidates for Secretary of State.  Corzine came close to picking Pinkett to run for Lt. Governor last summer, and the Franklin business executive and Ph.D. has been working hard for the campaign as Chairman of Yes We Can 2.0, a GOTV operation of the state Democratic Party.  Nina Mitchell Wells is expected to leave her post in January.

A new Quinnipiac University poll has Republican Christopher Christie leading Gov. Jon Corzine by two percentage points, 42%-40%, with 12% for independent Christopher Daggett.  Six percent remain undecided in a gubernatorial race that is just narrowly within the margin of error.

Four days ago, Corzine led 43%-38%, was 13% for Daggett.

Nearly four out of ten (38%) of Daggett supporters say they might change their mind: 39% list Corzine as their second choice, and 29% would go for Christie. 

"Daggett is the key to an incredibly close New Jersey election," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Christie leads 47%-32% among independents, with 17% for Daggett.