Byrne won't rule out primary challenge to Lautenberg

By Matt Friedman | September 11th, 2007 - 10:15pm
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While two recent independent polls show that a majority of New Jerseyans think Frank Lautenberg is too old to serve another full term in the U.S. Senate, so far there have been no Democrats willing to openly discuss a primary bid.

Add Tom Byrne to that list.

Or, to be exact, Brendan Thomas Byrne, Jr, the son of the former governor.

Byrne, a 53-year-old financial consultant and the Democratic State Chairman from 1994 to 1997, is sitting on about half a million dollars left over from the exploratory committee he set up to mull a Senate race in 2000, which he decided not to enter after Jon Corzine started gaining traction.

Byrne downplays the idea that he would challenge Lautenberg, saying he doesn’t want reporters to “stir the pot when nothing’s there.”

“Most people think that (Lautenberg) has done a good job in office and has the energy to continue,” said Byrne, whose firm advertises on PoliticsNJ.com.

But he won’t rule it out either.

“A few people have talked to me about it, but I haven’t really done anything, so I don’t see it,” said Byrne. “That my name comes up, I’m complimented to hear it.”

That may sound like a stretch considering the size of the pile of money Byrne is sitting on, but he could find it useful.

For one, there’s the ever-so-slight possibility that Lautenberg will decide not to seek another term, in which case Byrne is much more candid about his aspirations, saying that he would be likely to seek the Democratic nomination.

In that case, he’ll need all the money he can get. All but two of the state’s seven Democratic congressmen would be interested in succeeding Lautenberg. The five have amassed war chests ranging from Rush Holt’s $630,000 to Frank Pallone’s $2.9 million – the most cash of any congressman in the country.

There’s also the possibility that Byrne could seek a different office and channel his money into that campaign. If he decides that he never will run for elected office, Byrne said, he’ll distribute the money to other campaigns.

In the unlikely event that Byrne does decide to run a primary against Lautenberg, he’ll find a tough battle against the 83.5 year old, who by all accounts does not plan to relinquish his seat and has amassed $2.9 million to keep it.

Still, Byrne is in a position that many potential statewide candidate would envy. He’s got the name recognition from his father and is wealthy, though probably not to the point of being able to self-finance a statewide campaign.

“With his name and money, he’s well positioned to run up a flagpole and see if anybody salutes it without having to establish himself,” said Quinnipiac University pollster Clay Richards.

When it comes to his age, the recent polls on Lautenberg are troubling. A Rutgers-Eagleton poll from last month showed that 61 percent of respondents said that Lautenberg’s age would likely hurt his ability to represent New Jersey over the course of another term. In a July Quinnipiac poll, 51 percent of those polled said that Lautenberg is “too old to effectively serve another term.”

But as bad as those numbers look, they’re not likely to make him vulnerable in a primary.

“It’s absolutely in a vacuum and political history shows us that age is not necessarily a major problem in a campaign,” said Richards. “I think certainly that (Byrne’s) name should be on the short list for potential candidates for statewide office in New Jersey, but he still has a way to go to take on someone of the stature of Frank Lautenberg, who other than age has no real vulnerability and has been highly electable.”

And there is, of course, the legacy of Tom Kean, Jr. – another popular former governor’s son who managed to secure his party’s nomination but failed in his quest for a U.S. Senate seat.

“Recent history tells us that the son of a former popular governor does not necessarily mean a free ticket into office,” said Richards.

This is a non-story

FILM AT 11!!!!!!! Political person who wants to run for office some day won't rule out running for office!!!!!!!!

When there is smoke

I am not saying that Byrne has a chance in heck to beat FL. But this may prompt one of two reactions from potential candidates. They may either attack Byrne for his betrayal or jump in and add to the Lautenberg is too old to serve chorus. Someone had to be the sacrificial lamb here - thank you Mr. Byrne.

When there is smoke

I am not saying that Byrne has a chance in heck to beat FL. But this may prompt one of two reactions from potential candidates. They may either attack Byrne for his betrayal or jump in and add to the Lautenberg is too old to serve chorus. Someone had to be the sacrificial lamb here - thank you Mr. Byrne.

When there is smoke

I am not saying that Byrne has a chance in heck to beat FL. But this may prompt one of two reactions from potential candidates. They may either attack Byrne for his betrayal or jump in and add to the Lautenberg is too old to serve chorus. Someone had to be the sacrificial lamb here - thank you Mr. Byrne.

sorry for multiple posts

site stinks today

Maybe we need a PoliticsNJ Poll?

Which one of the current D congressman is most likely to give up their seat and primary Lautenberg?

A Primary

Isn't a bad thing for Democrats. The Republicans haven't won a senate seat in NJ since 1972, and few people believe the GOP can even seriously compete here in New Jersey. Tom Byrne at least has the courage to challenge Fossil Frank. Fossil Frank has no record. This last term has been nothing short of a joke. The guy needs to be pushed out because he doesn't know how to leave gracefully.

U S Senate Seat and the GOP

The GOP can compete in New Jersey and it only needs to look back at the qualities of the Senator who represented New Jersey for 24 years, until the late 70's, and recognize that New Jersey has not changed all that much in the type of representation it requires. There is a member of the former Senator's family that is in politics today, well respected, and certainly eyeing the position. The GOP might start right there. The Democrats have not won New Jersey, the GOP has lost it.

Byrne is decent guy

I don't see him embarrassing this state with scandals the way McGreedy did and Menendez is about to do

Bryne would be decent

Agreed

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