A North Carolina pollster who yesterday released a presidential poll showing President Obama cleaning up in New Jersey, today released results showing U.S. Sen. Bob Menendez retaining his seat against a host of potential challengers.
The poll by Public Policy Polling shows some of Menendez’s margins are slim, particularly against his 2006 challenger, state Sen. Tom Kean Jr. (R-Westfield) whom the poll shows he would defeat 41 to 39 with 19 percent of those polled unsure.
The Democratic incumbent fared better against Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno, who has been mentioned as a potential challenger to Menendez in 2012. The poll shows Menendez taking that race by 15 points, 45 to 30 with a large number of respondents – 72 percent - having no opinion of the Lt. Gov.
Menendez also topped Fox Business Network’s Lou Dobbs 47 to 35.
But though he did well against those potential challengers, the senator's approval ratings need a heavy boost over the next two years. According to the poll, 37 percent approve of the job Menendez is doing, while 38 percent disapprove and 24 percent are unsure.
Dobbs would also need a large dose of good will in the coming year if he is to mount a serious challenge. His favorable to unfavorable split came in at 25 to 30. Kean’s spread comes in at a healthier 31 to 18 favorable to unfavorable, though 51 percent of voters say they have no opinion of him.
“It takes a special level of unpopularity for an incumbent Democrat to lose in New Jersey and I'm not sure Menendez is there,” said company founder Dean Debnam in a blog entry detailing the poll. “Menendez will also be helped by the fact that Barack Obama is pretty strong in the state...it is difficult to imagine the President cruising to reelection by double digits and Menendez simultaneously losing.”
Not mentioned in the poll is pharmaceutical executive John Crowley, whose fight to find a cure for Pompe disease was chronicled in the movie Extraordinary Measures. Though he has not declared, Crowley is on the short list of potential challengers to Menendez .
From the poll:
"PPP surveyed 520 New Jersey voters from January 6th to 9th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.3%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify."
PPP is known in political circles as a liberal leaning enterprise with a client list made up exclusively of Democrats.
Read the full results here.
After weeks of speculation, the direction of the Newark mayoral race may take an important turn today as prominent members of the Payne political family gather at Newark's Robert Treat Hotel at 11:30 a.m.
The campaign of Newark mayoral candidate Shavar Jeffries has called a press conference at which both U.S. Rep. Donald M. Payne, Jr. (D-10) and Essex County deputy chief of staff and former state Assemblyman William D. Payne will be present.Read More >
Days Since Last Christie Press Conference (Jan. 9)
Greenstein versus Watson Coleman in Princeton PRINCETON – When Princeton Community Democratic Organization (PCDO) Chairman Jim Durbin announced a second ballot runoff tonight and the losers headed for the back of the room, he alerted committee members to the names of the two surviving competitors. But people already...
By Suzanne M. Walters When unions representing local police and firefighters cannot agree to new contract terms with local governments, State law mandates that the parties submit to binding arbitration. A third-party referee, then, sets the... Read More >
"The governor has allowed political cronyism to continue and even flourish, rather than stamp it out, with some of his closest confidants enriching themselves through millions of dollars in state contracts, and legal and lobbying fees, an Asbury Park Press review of thousands of pages of campaign, lobbying and contracting documents found."- The Asbury Park Press
Press releases are submitted by PolitickerNJ users, not by staff. They do not represent the viewpoint of PolitickerNJ.com.